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24H VOL:

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2,388,728,490

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$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

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5

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VS.

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Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 8 above___?
polymarket
limitless

Will Apple (AAPL) finish week of June 8 above___?

Volume:
$6,692

$290

 - Polymarket

$290 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$290

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$5,545
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$285

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$66
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$280

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$335

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$221
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$340

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$330

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$196
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$325

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$192
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$295

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$65
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$310

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$305

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$44
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$300

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$320

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$315

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Apple (AAPL) Up or Down - Weekly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
98.9¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group asks whether Apple (AAPL) stock will close above various price thresholds on Friday, June 12, 2026 (the final trading day of the week of June 8). The group contains 15 related markets spanning two platforms, each using a different data source and resolution methodology to determine the settlement price.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct data sources (Pyth oracle vs Yahoo Finance) create potential settlement value mismatches. While both ultimately reference official exchange prices as fallback, the primary resolution pathways differ, and real-time data feed latencies could cause temporary divergence.Hero tip: Cross-reference Pyth AAPL/USD and Yahoo Finance AAPL closing prices on June 12, 2026 before markets settle. If discrepancy exceeds $1, contact platform support to confirm which source will be used. For Limitless, note the June 5 baseline ($307.57278) is already locked; for Polymarket, only the June 12 close matters relative to each threshold.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Uses Pyth AAPL/USD 1-minute candle at end of regular trading hours on June 12, 2026. Baseline comparison price (June 5, 2026) already captured at $307.57278. Falls back to last valid Pyth price during regular hours, then to official exchange closing price if Pyth data unavailable. Resolves to 'Down' if no trading on June 12. Key quote: 'For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the Close value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange.'
  • Polymarket: Uses Yahoo Finance official closing prices for AAPL on June 12, 2026 as primary source. Falls back to last valid on-exchange trade price if official close unavailable (e.g., trading halt, system issue). Applies split-adjusted prices from Yahoo Finance. Key quote: 'The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) Close prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under Historical Prices.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Apple (AAPL) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Apple (AAPL) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AAPL/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Apple (Pyth AAPL/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Apple (Pyth AAPL/USD) on June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Apple (Pyth AAPL/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $307.57278. Resolution source: Pyth AAPL/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Apple (AAPL) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which AAPL is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AAPL during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real-money consensus from thousands of traders and often diverge meaningfully from sell-side analyst price targets. While traditional equity analysts publish 12-month outlooks based on fundamental models, prediction markets price the specific weekly outcome with immediate feedback. The current Polymarket and Limitless odds incorporate recent earnings, macro conditions, and technical levels that analysts may lag in updating. Comparing market-implied probability to consensus analyst sentiment reveals whether traders expect Apple to outperform or underperform near-term expectations, making this a useful contrarian signal.

Key catalysts include Apple product announcements, quarterly earnings surprises, shifts in semiconductor supply chains, and broader tech sector sentiment. Macroeconomic data—particularly inflation reports and Federal Reserve commentary—can drive equity market rotation into or out of mega-cap growth stocks like Apple. Competitive pressures from other smartphone and services players, regulatory developments affecting App Store economics, and geopolitical tensions impacting manufacturing also influence weekly price action. Technical levels, options expiry dynamics, and index rebalancing flows during the week of June 8 may create additional volatility. Monitoring these factors helps traders adjust positions as new information arrives.