TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 30, 4:38 AM EST
Polymarket
As of market creation, Anheuser-Busch InBev is estimated to release earnings on July 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Anheuser-Busch InBev’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.14 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anheuser-Busch InBev reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.14 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Anheuser-Busch InBev releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
As of market creation, Anheuser-Busch InBev is estimated to release earnings on July 30, 2026. The Street consensus estimate for Anheuser-Busch InBev’s non-GAAP EPS for the relevant quarter is $1.14 as of market creation. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anheuser-Busch InBev reports non-GAAP EPS greater than $1.14 for the relevant quarter in its next quarterly earnings release. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the non-GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents. If Anheuser-Busch InBev releases earnings without non-GAAP EPS, then the market will resolve according to the non-GAAP EPS figure reported by SeekingAlpha. If no such figure is published within 96h of market close (4:00:00pm ET) on the day earnings are announced, the market will resolve according to the GAAP EPS listed in the company’s official earnings documents; or, if not published there, according to the GAAP EPS provided by SeekingAlpha. If no GAAP EPS number is available from either source at that time, the market will resolve to “No.” (For the purposes of this market, GAAP EPS refers to diluted GAAP EPS, unless it is not published, in which case it refers to basic GAAP EPS.) If the company does not release earnings within 45 calendar days of the estimated earnings date, this market will resolve to “No.” Note: Subsequent restatements, corrections, or revisions made to the initially announced non-GAAP EPS figure will not qualify for resolution, except in the case of obvious and immediate mistakes (e.g., fat finger errors, as with Lyft's (LYFT) earnings release in February 2024). Note: The strike prices used in these markets are derived from SeekingAlpha estimates, and reflect the consensus of sell-side analyst estimates for non-GAAP EPS. Note: All figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. Note: For the purposes of this market, IFRS EPS will be treated as GAAP EPS. Note: If multiple versions of non-GAAP EPS are published, the market will resolve according to the primary headline non-GAAP EPS number, which is typically presented on a diluted basis. If diluted is not published, then basic non-GAAP EPS will qualify. Note: All figures are expressed in USD, unless otherwise indicated. Note: For primarily internationally listed companies, this market refers specifically to the shares traded in the United States on U.S. stock exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq. In cases where the company trades in the U.S. through an American Depositary Receipt (ADR) or American Depositary Share (ADS), this market will refer to the ADR/ADS.
Prediction market odds often diverge from consensus analyst estimates because they reflect real-money incentives and continuous price discovery rather than periodic published reports. While analysts typically issue earnings forecasts on a fixed schedule, this market updates dynamically as new information emerges. Traders who believe the consensus is too optimistic or pessimistic can profit by positioning accordingly, which can push market odds ahead of or away from the official analyst consensus. This real-time feedback mechanism sometimes reveals gaps between Wall Street expectations and market-based probability assessments.
On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker that converts trader activity into real-time odds. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Participants buy and sell shares representing "yes" (beat) or "no" (miss) outcomes, and the cumulative order flow determines the probability reflected in the current price. Higher trading volume typically narrows the spread between bid and ask prices, making it easier to enter or exit positions. The price discovery process is continuous, so odds shift throughout the day as new information or sentiment changes emerge.
This market resolves around Jul 30, 2026, once Anheuser-Busch InBev's quarterly earnings results are publicly announced and verified. The outcome is determined by comparing the company's reported earnings per share or other key metrics against the consensus estimate established before the announcement. A beat occurs when actual results exceed the consensus threshold; a miss occurs when they fall short. Resolution is confirmed once the earnings data is verifiable from credible public reporting and financial news sources.
Several catalysts can shift odds in this market before resolution. Macroeconomic data affecting consumer spending or commodity prices could influence expectations for beer sales and margins. Company guidance updates, management commentary, or industry reports on volume trends may prompt repricing. Competitor earnings or sector-wide announcements can also sway sentiment. Additionally, changes in currency exchange rates or regulatory developments may impact profitability forecasts. As the earnings date approaches, pre-announcement analyst revisions and options market activity often signal shifting conviction among financial professionals.