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$134.2b

24H VOL:

$129,159,707

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2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,442,132,418

404,744

Markets across

30,489

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,691

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above___?
polymarket
limitless

Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of June 8 above___?

Volume:
$16,665

$235

 - Polymarket

$235 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

$235

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,947
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$230

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,166
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$225

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$330
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

$285

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,368
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$240

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,428
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$275

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
limitless

Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down - Weekly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
98.9¢
N/A
$552
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$255

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$146
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$250

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$245

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$260

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$270

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$265

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$21
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

$280

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event group tracks whether Amazon (AMZN) stock will close above various price thresholds ($225–$285) on Friday, June 12, 2026, the final trading day of the week of June 8, 2026. Markets compare the June 12 closing price against the prior week's close (June 5, 2026: $246.16585) or resolve based on whether the price exceeds each specified strike level.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Two distinct settlement architectures: Limitless uses Pyth price feed with directional (relative) logic; Polymarket uses Yahoo Finance with absolute price thresholds. Both resolve on June 12, 2026 close, but measure different settlement values and employ different data sources.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with different payoff structures. Limitless "Up" outcome depends on outperformance vs. the prior week close ($246.16585); Polymarket outcomes depend on absolute closing prices. If Pyth and Yahoo Finance report different June 12 closes, outcomes may diverge. Verify data source reconciliation before settlement.

Critical divergence points:

  • Limitless: Directional comparison market. Resolves "Up" if Pyth AMZN/USD close on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than Pyth close on June 5, 2026 ($246.16585). Primary source: Pyth AMZN/USD price feed. Fallback: official exchange close if Pyth data unavailable. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on June 5, 2026.'
  • Polymarket: Absolute threshold markets (15 questions at $225–$285 strikes). Each resolves "Yes" if Yahoo Finance official close on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the specified threshold. Primary source: Yahoo Finance historical prices. Fallback: last valid on-exchange trade if official close unavailable. Key Quote: 'This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official closing price for Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) on the final day of trading of the specified week (normally Friday) is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." If the final session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official closing price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no official closing price is published for that session (for example, due to a trading halt into the close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance, specifically the Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) "Close" prices available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/AMZN/history, published under "Historical Prices." In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Yahoo Finance.

Limitless

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Close price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on June 12, 2026 is strictly higher than the Close price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) on June 5, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The Close price for Amazon (Pyth AMZN/USD) captured on June 5, 2026, was $246.16585. Resolution source: Pyth AMZN/USD price feed. Other exchanges, spot markets, and oracles will not be used. For example, a weekly Friday market would ordinarily compare that Friday's Close price with the previous Friday's Close price, unless that previous Friday was a market holiday. In that case, it would compare against Thursday's Close price, or the next most recent trading day. If Amazon (AMZN) does not trade at all during the regular session on June 12, 2026, this market will resolve to "Down". For a standard full trading session, the Close price refers to the "Close" value of the 1-minute Pyth candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If either relevant trading day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the last valid Pyth price during that day's regular trading hours will be used as the effective Close price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which AMZN is listed will be used to determine the Close price for that day. In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting AMZN during the relevant time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader sentiment and real financial stakes, often diverging from traditional analyst price targets. While Wall Street forecasts tend to be longer-term and based on fundamental models, prediction markets like Polymarket and Limitless price in near-term technicals, earnings surprises, and macro sentiment over a one-week window. Markets can move faster than analyst revisions, especially around earnings or Fed announcements. Comparing current market odds to published analyst consensus reveals whether traders are pricing in information analysts have not yet incorporated.

Key catalysts include Amazon earnings announcements, cloud revenue guidance, AWS competitive pressures, and broader tech sector sentiment. Macroeconomic data such as inflation reports or Fed rate signals can shift the entire market. Regulatory news around antitrust or labor practices may impact investor confidence. Short-term technicals, options expiry flows, and index rebalancing can also drive intraweek volatility. Geopolitical events or competitor announcements may reshape growth expectations, moving AMZN sharply in either direction before the week closes.