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WI-05 Democratic nominee?
kalshi

WI-05 Democratic nominee?

Volume:
$8,182

Andrew Beck

 - Kalshi

Andrew Beck - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 12, 2026

Closed: Aug 12, 1:17 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Andrew Beck

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,085
N/A
N/A
$3,170
1mo 4d
Yes
kalshi

Ben Steinhoff

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4,097
N/A
N/A
$3,841
1mo 4d
No
Total markets: 2

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will secure the Democratic Party nomination for the 2026 U.S. House race in Wisconsin's 5th district. On Kalshi, Ben Steinhoff holds 69.5% probability of becoming the nominee, while Andrew Beck stands at 30.0%. Resolution will be determined by official Democratic Party nomination results. Watch the 2026 general election on November 3rd, when the winner of the nomination will face off in the general contest.

Kalshi

If Andrew Beck wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 WI-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes. If Ben Steinhoff wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 WI-05 House seat, then the market resolves to Yes.

Frequently asked questions

The WI-05 Democratic nominee market resolves on Nov 3, 2026. Resolution is determined by the official outcome of Wisconsin's 5th congressional district Democratic primary election. The market will settle based on which candidate is certified as the Democratic nominee by Wisconsin election authorities. Any candidate who wins the primary through the state's official nomination process will trigger the corresponding contract to resolve to 100 cents, while all other candidate contracts resolve to zero. Traders should monitor primary election dates and any changes to Wisconsin's nomination procedures.

Key catalysts for WI-05 Democratic nominee odds include candidate endorsements from state and national Democratic figures, campaign fundraising reports showing financial strength or weakness, debate performances and media coverage, polling releases tracking voter preference shifts, and grassroots organizing indicators. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entries into the race would dramatically reprrice the market. Local economic news, scandals, or legislative votes affecting the district could influence candidate viability. As the primary election approaches, early voting results and turnout models become increasingly important price drivers. National Democratic Party signals about preferred candidates may also move odds.