TOTAL VOLUME:
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24H VOL:
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2,643,541,936
OPEN INTEREST:
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469,827
Markets across
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events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,899
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
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Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Democratic party
- Kalshi
Democratic party - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Jan 6, 2027
Latest in Elections
Will the Democratic party win the Attorney General race in Vermont?
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Intro
This market tracks which party will win Vermont's Attorney General race for the term beginning in 2027. On Kalshi, the Democratic party winning stands at 90.3%, while the Republican party winning is at 13%. The market resolves based on which party's representative is sworn in as Attorney General of Vermont for the 2027 term. Watch for the election results and swearing-in ceremony scheduled for January 6, 2027, which will determine the final outcome.
Kalshi
The market resolves based on which party's representative is sworn in as Attorney General of Vermont for the term beginning in 2027. A Democratic party representative being sworn in resolves the market to Yes for that outcome, as does a Republican party representative being sworn in for their respective outcome.
Frequently asked questions
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their beliefs about the outcome of the Vermont Attorney General race. The price of a contract reflects the probability of that outcome occurring; higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of success. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on new information and their own analysis, which dynamically updates the market’s probabilities. This creates a real-time assessment of the race, driven by the wisdom of the crowd.
This market resolves around Jan 6, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the winner of the Vermont Attorney General race is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on the official results announced by the relevant election authorities. The market will determine which candidate ultimately wins the election, reflecting the final vote count. Traders who correctly predicted the outcome will receive a payout based on the odds at the time of their trade, while those who predicted incorrectly will forfeit their stake.
Several factors could significantly impact this market between now and Jan 6, 2027. Major endorsements from influential figures, significant fundraising announcements, or unexpected developments in the candidates’ campaigns could all shift trader sentiment. Polling data releases, while already reflected to some extent, can still cause price adjustments if they deviate substantially from expectations. Any controversies or scandals involving the candidates could also lead to volatility in this market, as traders reassess the probabilities of each outcome in the Vermont Attorney General race.
