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Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?
polymarket

Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30?

Volume:
$2,989,300

Benjamin Netanyahu

 - Polymarket

Benjamin Netanyahu - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 4, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Benjamin Netanyahu

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,928,603
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Marjorie Taylor Greene

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$282,753
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Candace Owens

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$125,173
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Tucker Carlson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$114,824
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Keir Starmer

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$43,878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Nicolás Maduro

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.6¢
N/A
$34,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barack Obama

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$17,489
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jerome Powell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$8,012
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Joe Biden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,400
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Kaitlan Collins

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$1,848
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jimmy Kimmel

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$182,997
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Xi Jinping

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$54,236
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elon Musk

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
0.6¢
N/A
$42,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pope Leo XIV

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,830
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mohammed bin Salman

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,713
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Freidrich Merz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,938
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

J.D. Vance

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$16,778
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Vladimir Putin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,811
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Emmanuel Macron

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$15,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Zohran Mamdani

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
9.1¢
N/A
$14,504
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Melania Trump

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$8,063
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Viktor Orbán

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pam Bondi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alex Jones

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,137
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Megyn Kelly

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,612
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 27

Intro

This market tracks whether Donald Trump will make a public statement insulting, mocking, or attacking Benjamin Netanyahu personally or professionally by June 30, 2026. The leading outcome currently stands at 100.0% on Polymarket. Resolution will be determined by credible reporting of any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump that disparages Netanyahu personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner, excluding policy disagreements stated without disparaging language. Watch for any Trump public statements between now and the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks the listed individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count. A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Who will Trump publicly insult by June 30 event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that Donald Trump will publicly insult a specific target by the resolution date, along with 24-hour volume of $19,137 and total group volume of $2,989,258. The interface shows price history, order flow, and the leading outcome's current odds, enabling traders to monitor sentiment shifts and liquidity as the event unfolds.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader expectations about Trump's public statements through June 30, 2026. Unlike traditional polls, which measure voter sentiment or approval, prediction markets price the likelihood of a specific behavioral event based on accumulated trader conviction. Market participants incorporate news, social media activity, and historical patterns of Trump's public conduct. This forward-looking mechanism often diverges from polling data, as traders bet on concrete outcomes rather than abstract preferences.

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether Trump has made a public insult targeting the specified individual by that date. Public statements include remarks made in speeches, interviews, social media posts, press conferences, and other widely reported communications. The outcome is determined by documented evidence of insulting language or derogatory comments directed at the named target, assessed against the market's resolution criteria at settlement.

Key catalysts include Trump's public appearances, campaign rallies, and media engagements where he typically makes controversial statements. Political developments—such as legal proceedings, election cycles, or high-profile disputes with named individuals—often trigger shifts in market odds. Social media activity and viral moments can rapidly reprrice expectations. Additionally, statements from Trump allies or opponents, news cycles focusing on specific targets, and any direct confrontations or policy disagreements may influence trader conviction about whether an insult will occur by the deadline.