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Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?
kalshi

Who will Trump nominate as FDA commissioner?

Volume:
$25,897

Heidi Overton

 - Kalshi

Heidi Overton - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 19, 2026

Closed: Aug 19, 4:48 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Heidi Overton

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,337
N/A
N/A
$2,628
2y 3mo 3w
Yes
kalshi

Jeffrey Vacirca

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,096
N/A
N/A
$7,745
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Kyle Diamantas

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,236
N/A
N/A
$2,164
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Mehmet Oz

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,160
N/A
N/A
$436
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Stephen Hahn

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$543
N/A
N/A
$443
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Sara Brenner

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$457
N/A
N/A
$301
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Brett Giroir

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$447
N/A
N/A
$358
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Stephen Ferrara

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$244
N/A
N/A
$244
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Nicole Saphier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$174
N/A
N/A
$142
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Brian Christine

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$164
N/A
N/A
$143
2y 3mo 3w
No
kalshi

Grace Graham

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$39
N/A
N/A
$39
2y 3mo 3w
No
Total markets: 11

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks which individual Trump will nominate to lead the FDA before the presidential term concludes. Kyle Diamantas currently shows 27.0% probability as the leading candidate, while Mehmet Oz follows at 14.0%. Resolution is determined by official nomination announcements verified through public sources. Watch for Trump's formal FDA commissioner nomination announcement before January 20, 2029, which will trigger market resolution.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on which individual receives an official nomination for FDA commissioner after market issuance and before January 20, 2029. Only the first official nomination made after issuance will be considered for resolution purposes.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jan 20, 2029, the date of Trump's presidential inauguration. Resolution is determined by Trump's official nomination announcement for FDA commissioner. Once the nominee is publicly confirmed by Trump or his transition team through official channels, the corresponding contract on Kalshi settles to 100 cents (winning) or 0 cents (losing) based on which candidate was actually nominated. Any ambiguity about the nominee's identity or timing is resolved according to Kalshi's published event rules.

Key catalysts include Trump's public statements or social media posts naming or praising potential FDA commissioners, media reports about transition team deliberations, and announcements of other cabinet positions that may signal his policy direction on drug regulation. Senate confirmation hearings or vetting controversies surrounding leading candidates could shift odds sharply. Industry lobbying, pharmaceutical sector reactions, and statements from Trump allies about FDA reform priorities may also influence trader expectations. Finally, any withdrawal or public disinterest from a frontrunner candidate would immediately reprrice the market toward alternative nominees.