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Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?
polymarket

Who will Trump announce as next Secretary of Labor?

Volume:
$127,398

Keith Sonderling

 - Polymarket

Keith Sonderling - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Invalid Date EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Keith Sonderling

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$31,415
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Yes
polymarket

Andrew Puzder

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$36,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

None in 2026

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$13,042
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Johnny C. Taylor Jr.

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,163
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Bryan Slater

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,621
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Brandon Williams

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,409
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Jonathan Berry

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Glenn Youngkin

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0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,402
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Sean O'Brien

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,619
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Vince Micone

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,288
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Patrick Pizzella

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,396
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person H

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person L

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person P

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person R

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person T

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person I

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person M

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person N

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person Q

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N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person S

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
polymarket

Person O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
No
Total markets: 25 of 35

Intro

This market tracks whether Keith Sonderling will be announced by Donald Trump as his pick for United States Secretary of Labor. On Polymarket, the probability that Trump announces Sonderling for this role stands at 75.0%. Resolution will be determined by official statements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration naming their intended nominee, with credible reporting serving as a secondary source. Watch for an official announcement from the Trump administration by the December 31, 2026 deadline, as any delay past that date would resolve the market to no announcement occurring in 2026.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the first individual Donald Trump announces as his pick to be United States Secretary of Labor. An announcement from Donald Trump or the Trump administration stating their intent to nominate a specific individual for United States Secretary of Labor will suffice to resolve this market, regardless of whether a formal nomination actually occurs. Qualifying announcements must explicitly present the relevant individual as the nominee or future nominee for United States Secretary of Labor. Announcements of acting or interim appointments, or announcements which merely reveal potential candidates, will not qualify. Media reports, speculation, or other unofficial information will not qualify. A formal presidential nomination of an individual to be United States Secretary of Labor will also suffice to resolve this market. Formal nominations are defined as the submission of a nomination message to the U.S. Senate. If Donald Trump does not announce his pick for the next United States Secretary of Labor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No announcement in 2026". The resolution source for this market will be official information from Donald Trump and the Trump Administration; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for Trump's next Secretary of Labor announcement on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of each candidate outcome, 24-hour trading volume of $81,007, cumulative event volume of $127,398, and historical price movements. You can monitor how odds shift as new political developments, statements, or confirmations emerge. The interface shows which candidates are leading in trader conviction and how market sentiment has evolved over time, helping you understand both current expectations and recent momentum in this high-stakes Cabinet selection.

Prediction markets on Polymarket reflect trader expectations rather than traditional polling, which rarely measures Cabinet appointment preferences directly. Market odds incorporate real-time information, insider signals, and trader conviction about Trump's actual selection process. While polls measure public opinion on candidate favorability, prediction markets price the likelihood of a specific announcement occurring. Traders betting real money often respond faster to breaking news, statements from Trump's team, or candidate withdrawals than polls can capture. This makes prediction market odds a forward-looking gauge of what insiders and informed participants believe will actually happen.

The market is scheduled to resolve by Dec 31, 2026. Resolution occurs once Trump makes an official public announcement naming his next Secretary of Labor. The outcome is determined by whether the announced individual matches the specific candidate named in each contract. Resolution typically happens shortly after the announcement, once the event is confirmed through credible news sources or official statements. Until that announcement is made, all candidate contracts remain open for trading, allowing participants to adjust positions based on emerging signals about Trump's decision-making process and final selection.

Key catalysts include direct statements from Trump or his team about Cabinet preferences, media reports naming potential candidates under consideration, public endorsements or withdrawals by leading contenders, and Senate confirmation signals that might influence Trump's choice. Economic announcements or labor-policy developments could shift trader views on which candidate best fits Trump's agenda. Candidate interviews, past statements on wage policy or union relations, and political alignment with Trump's priorities all factor into market pricing. Any indication that Trump has narrowed his search or made a preliminary decision would likely trigger sharp odds movement. Breaking news about candidate availability or disqualifying factors could rapidly reshape market expectations.