TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Donald Trump will publicly announce Todd Blanche as his pick for United States Attorney General before the June 30, 2026 deadline. On Polymarket, Todd Blanche holds 98.9% probability, while no announcement by that date stands at 0.5%. Resolution will be determined by official statements from Donald Trump or the Trump administration, with credible media consensus as a secondary source. Watch for Trump's formal announcement or Senate nomination submission by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET to settle this market.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money incentives and often diverge from traditional polling because traders bet directly on Cabinet outcomes rather than surveying voter sentiment. While polls measure public opinion about preferred candidates, prediction markets price the actual probability of Trump's announcement decision based on insider signals, media reporting, and political momentum. Markets typically react faster to breaking news—such as candidate withdrawals or public endorsements—than aggregate polling. This event's market pricing incorporates trader assessments of Trump's likely choice, making it a forward-looking complement to conventional political surveys.