TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 13, 12:30 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks which major technology company will become the subject of the FTC's next enforcement action. On Kalshi, Microsoft resolves to Yes at 19.0%, while Apple resolves to Yes at 12.0%. The market will settle based on official FTC enforcement action announcements as the resolution source. Watch for any formal FTC complaints or consent decrees filed against major tech firms, with the market expected to resolve by January 1, 2027.
Resolution is determined by identifying which company becomes the subject of the FTC's next new enforcement action. A new enforcement action is defined as the first public announcement of an enforcement action on a particular matter or against a specific company. If the FTC takes multiple enforcement steps as part of the same matter, only the first public step counts as the triggering event. This ensures that sequential actions related to the same underlying case do not create multiple resolution events.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money incentives and trader conviction about FTC enforcement targets, which often diverge from traditional polling. While polls measure public opinion or expert sentiment at a single point in time, prediction markets aggregate ongoing bets from participants with financial stakes in accuracy. For Who will the FTC go after next, market prices incorporate evolving regulatory signals, recent FTC statements, and enforcement patterns that may not be fully captured in conventional surveys. This makes markets a complementary signal to polling data.
The Who will the FTC go after next market resolves on Jan 1, 2027. Resolution is determined by official FTC announcements, enforcement actions, and regulatory filings that identify the next major target of FTC investigation or litigation. The market outcome depends on which entity or sector the FTC publicly pursues as its next significant enforcement priority within the specified timeframe. Traders should monitor FTC press releases, congressional testimony, and regulatory guidance to anticipate resolution criteria.
Key catalysts include FTC leadership statements about enforcement priorities, congressional hearings on tech regulation or consumer protection, major corporate scandals affecting specific industries, and shifts in political pressure on the agency. Announcements of new FTC investigations or formal complaints against major companies would directly signal the next enforcement target. Changes in FTC leadership, budget allocations, or strategic focus areas also influence market pricing. Economic data, merger activity in regulated sectors, and consumer complaints trending on social media can shift trader expectations about which entity faces the highest enforcement risk.