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Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?
polymarket

Who will place first in the primary for Nancy Pelosi’s congressional seat (CA-11)?

Volume:
$392,596

Scott Wiener

 - Polymarket

Scott Wiener - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 10, 2026

Closed: Jun 1, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Scott Wiener

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$60,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Connie Chan

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$318,863
$213,868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Jingchao Xiong

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
$329,475
$42,698
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Saikat Chakrabarti

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$27,264
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Darren Helton

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$20,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cole Bettles

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$16,288
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

David Ganezer

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 99.9¢
—
N/A
$11,696
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate J

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate L

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate N

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate I

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate K

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate M

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate O

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate C

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate E

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate G

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate B

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate D

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate F

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Candidate H

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 22

Intro

This market tracks which candidate will receive the most votes in California's 11th congressional district primary election, regardless of party affiliation. On Polymarket, Scott Wiener leads at 94.0%, with Saikat Chakrabarti at 4.7%. The market will resolve based on official results from the California Secretary of State and other official sources. Watch for the primary election results on June 2, 2026, which will determine the leading vote-getter who advances to contest the seat in the 2026 midterm elections.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 2, 2026, following the CA-11 primary election. Resolution is determined by official results from the California Secretary of State, which certify which candidate received the most votes in the primary round. The outcome is binary: one candidate will be confirmed as the first-place finisher, and all contracts tied to that candidate resolve to "yes" while all others resolve to "no." Traders should monitor official election result announcements and any potential recounts or certification delays that could affect the final determination.

Key catalysts include major endorsements from state or national Democratic figures, significant campaign spending announcements, and debate performances if any primary forums are held. Fundraising reports and cash-on-hand disclosures can signal candidate viability and shift trader expectations. Local media coverage, voter registration trends, and special election results in similar districts may influence market pricing. Unexpected candidate withdrawals or entry would reshape the race dynamics. Polling releases, particularly as the primary date approaches, often trigger sharp repricing. Turnout models and demographic shifts in CA-11 could also move odds as traders refine their forecasts closer to Jun 2, 2026.