TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
No one
- Kalshi
No one - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
Negative
Neutral
Hover marker for details
Vol.
·
Resolved Aug 4, 2026
Latest in Elections
Closed: Aug 4, 10:00 AM EST
Kalshi
Description
This event tracks political support dynamics by focusing on whether a specific public figure will publicly back a candidate in an upcoming election. It examines the conditions under which statements of support are considered valid and how outcomes are determined based on those endorsements.
Kalshi
The event determines whether Mallory McMorrow publicly endorses any candidate in the 2026 Michigan Senate race before August 4, 2026. A valid endorsement requires a clear, affirmative public statement of support specifically referencing the race, issued directly by McMorrow or through official channels. Endorsements must not be sarcastic or later retracted as jokes. If McMorrow endorses exactly one candidate, that candidate's market resolves to Yes at $1.00, and all others resolve to No. If multiple candidates receive endorsements, each endorsed candidate's market resolves to Yes at a prorated value of ($1.00 divided by the number of endorsed candidates), rounded down to the nearest cent. If no endorsement occurs before the deadline, the "No one" market resolves to Yes at $1.00, and all candidate-specific markets resolve to No. The Exchange retains discretion to adjust outcomes if any candidate withdraws or is no longer viable before an endorsement is confirmed.
Frequently asked questions
Compared to analyst forecasts, this market often reflects a more immediate, crowd-sourced interpretation of polling trends and insider whispers. While analysts may incorporate long-term strategy and historical context, traders react quickly to new data, sometimes showing sharper shifts. The gap between the two can highlight where public betting diverges from expert opinion.
This market resolves around Aug 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the endorsement is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market settles based on whether a notable public figure or organization officially declares their support for a specific candidate, as reported by reputable news outlets.
