TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Elections
Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?
kalshi

Who will finish first in the 2026 Likud primary?

Volume:
$26,781

Eli Cohen

 - Kalshi

Eli Cohen - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 2:54 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Eli Cohen

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,751
N/A
N/A
$1,970
10mo 3w
Yes
kalshi

Amir Ohana

0%
82%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$15,017
N/A
N/A
$6,590
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Tally Gotliv

0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,679
N/A
N/A
$2,008
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Yariv Levin

0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,829
N/A
N/A
$1,119
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Israel Katz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,089
N/A
N/A
$960
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Shlomo Karhi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
$335
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Ofir Katz

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Nir Barkat

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$423
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Gila Gamliel

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$412
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

David Amsalem

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Amichai Chikli

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Boaz Bismuth

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$329
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Moshe Saada

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$310
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
kalshi

Miri Regev

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$287
N/A
N/A
$181
10mo 3w
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This event tracks the outcome of an internal party election where members compete for a prominent position on the party's legislative candidate list. The contest determines who will secure the second spot, as the party leader holds the top position by default. The result reflects the collective preference of party participants in this specific electoral process.

Kalshi

The 2026 Likud primary will determine the second-place candidate on the party's list for the 26th Knesset, with Benjamin Netanyahu automatically occupying the first position as party leader and thus not participating in the vote. Each market corresponds to a specific candidate, and the market resolves to 'Yes' if that candidate receives the highest number of nationwide votes in the primary. The secondary rule clarifies that Netanyahu's automatic placement does not affect the competitive nature of the primary, which solely decides the runner-up position. All markets share this consistent structure, focusing exclusively on identifying the top vote-getter among participating candidates for the second spot on the Knesset candidate list.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Aug 17, 2027, with the outcome confirmed once the primary results are verifiable from credible public reporting. The final determination hinges on official vote tallies and any certified runoffs, with the market settling based on who is ultimately declared the winner of the 2026 Likud primary race. No internal platform mechanisms or external validation steps beyond public confirmation are involved in the resolution process.