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Who will endorse James Fishback?
kalshi

Who will endorse James Fishback?

Volume:
$77,154

Candace Owens

 - Kalshi

Candace Owens - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 18, 2026

Closed: Aug 18, 10:00 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Candace Owens

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$26,054
N/A
N/A
$11,942
Settled
No
kalshi

Ron DeSantis

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20,936
N/A
N/A
$11,582
Settled
No
kalshi

Donald Trump

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,717
N/A
N/A
$5,145
Settled
No
kalshi

Matt Walsh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,520
N/A
N/A
$4,110
Settled
No
kalshi

Tucker Carlson

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$4,948
N/A
N/A
$1,859
Settled
No
kalshi

Laura Loomer

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,012
N/A
N/A
$1,659
Settled
No
kalshi

Chaya Raichik

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
$2,072
Settled
No
kalshi

James Uthmeier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,504
N/A
N/A
$1,333
Settled
No
kalshi

Dave Rubin

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,369
N/A
N/A
$1,260
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Intro

This market tracks whether specific political figures will publicly endorse James Fishback during Florida's 2026 gubernatorial election cycle. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—a Candace Owens endorsement of Fishback before August 18, 2026—stands at 49.0%, while a James Uthmeier endorsement is priced at 9.8%. Resolution is determined by Ron DeSantis's public endorsement decision in the primary or general election. Watch for endorsement announcements as the August 18, 2026 deadline approaches, which will serve as the final resolution date for this market.

Kalshi

An endorsement of James Fishback in Florida's gubernatorial election (primary or general) must constitute a clear, affirmative statement of support for his election. The endorsement must be public—not private communications—and either specifically reference the race or be clearly made in the context of the race. It must come directly from the person or through their official channels. Statements that do not meet these criteria do not qualify: positive comments without explicit electoral support, policy endorsements unaccompanied by nominee endorsement, and conditional endorsements are excluded. Social media endorsements are valid only from verified accounts; likes and retweets alone do not constitute endorsement, though quote tweets with additional supportive commentary do count. Sarcastic statements or those immediately clarified as jokes do not qualify as endorsements.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations about endorsement timing and likelihood, which often diverge from traditional polling. Polls typically measure voter sentiment or name recognition, whereas prediction markets price in insider knowledge, campaign strategy, and the specific mechanics of when an endorsement might occur. For this endorsement event, market participants are pricing in factors that public surveys may not capture, such as backroom negotiations and strategic timing by potential endorsers in Florida's gubernatorial race.

The market resolves on Aug 18, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether a qualifying endorsement from the specified individual occurs before that deadline in the context of Florida's gubernatorial election, either during the primary or general phase. Traders should monitor official announcements, campaign statements, and media coverage to gauge the likelihood of resolution. The specific endorsement criteria and verification method are defined in the market's terms at the time of trading.

Key catalysts include Fishback's campaign momentum, public statements from potential endorsers, primary election results, and shifts in Florida's political landscape. If Fishback gains traction or secures other high-profile endorsements, the probability of this specific endorsement may increase. Conversely, campaign setbacks or public disagreements could lower odds. Media coverage of the endorser's political positioning, statements about Fishback, or changes in the gubernatorial race dynamics will all influence trader expectations. Timing announcements and campaign strategy shifts are critical signals to watch.