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Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?
kalshi

Who will dissent at the September Fed meeting?

Volume:
$89,444

Kevin Warsh

 - Kalshi

Kevin Warsh - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 16, 2026

Closed: Sep 16, 1:59 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Kevin Warsh

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$24,437
N/A
N/A
$20,989
Settled
No
kalshi

Christopher Waller

View
0%
21%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$12,085
N/A
N/A
$7,212
Settled
No
kalshi

Michelle Bowman

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,805
N/A
N/A
$3,150
Settled
No
kalshi

Beth Hammack

View
0%
20%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,263
N/A
N/A
$2,562
Settled
No
kalshi

John Williams

View
0%
10%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,960
N/A
N/A
$5,802
Settled
No
kalshi

Jerome Powell

View
0%
6%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,845
N/A
N/A
$5,163
Settled
No
kalshi

Lorie Logan

View
0%
15%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,484
N/A
N/A
$3,252
Settled
No
kalshi

Neel Kashkari

View
0%
13%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,016
N/A
N/A
$2,453
Settled
No
kalshi

Lisa Cook

View
0%
9%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,778
N/A
N/A
$2,224
Settled
No
kalshi

Philip Jefferson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,413
N/A
N/A
$1,559
Settled
No
kalshi

Anna Paulson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,084
N/A
N/A
$1,128
Settled
No
kalshi

Michael Barr

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,275
N/A
N/A
$682
Settled
No
Total markets: 12

Description

The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meets periodically to discuss monetary policy and interest rates. During these meetings, voting members can formally dissent from the consensus decision, signaling disagreement with the majority view. Tracking dissents offers insight into divisions among policymakers on key economic issues.

Kalshi

This event centers on whether any of the 12 specified Federal Reserve officials formally dissent during the September 2026 FOMC meeting. Each market corresponds to an individual official — Kevin Warsh, John Williams, Philip Jefferson, Michelle Bowman, Christopher Waller, Michael Barr, Jerome Powell, Lisa Cook, Beth Hammack, Anna Paulson, Lorie Logan, and Neel Kashkari. The outcome resolves to Yes if the referenced official formally records a dissent in the official FOMC meeting minutes. No other conditions or contextual factors influence resolution; only the formal dissent itself matters. The event concludes once official FOMC records are published post-meeting.

Frequently asked questions

This market resolves around Sep 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result depends on the official Federal Open Market Committee statement released after the September meeting, which lists each participant’s vote. No internal deliberations are needed—only the public record determines the settlement.

Key events that could shift this market include speeches from Fed officials, upcoming economic data releases such as inflation or employment figures, and major geopolitical developments. Any signal that alters expectations for policy tone or divergence among committee members may cause rapid price swings. Traders will also monitor analyst reaction and media coverage in the weeks leading up to the meeting.