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Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 25, 2026?
kalshi

Who will be the top ActBlue fundraiser on Sep 25, 2026?

Volume:
$81,419

James Talarico

 - Kalshi

James Talarico - Kalshi

1W

News

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Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 25, 2026

Closed: Sep 25, 9:59 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

James Talarico

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$14,439
N/A
N/A
$9,804
2mo 3w 4d
Yes
kalshi

Mary Peltola

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$34,187
N/A
N/A
$14,067
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Jon Ossoff

View
0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,774
N/A
N/A
$5,197
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Abdul El-Sayed

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,287
N/A
N/A
$5,831
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Troy Jackson

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,540
N/A
N/A
$4,379
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Angie Nixon

View
0%
1%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,702
N/A
N/A
$4,317
2mo 3w 4d
No
kalshi

Sherrod Brown

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,490
N/A
N/A
$4,182
2mo 3w 4d
No
Total markets: 7

Description

This event tracks political fundraising performance, focusing on which candidate garners the most contributions through a prominent online platform on a specific date. The outcome depends on public support and donor engagement strategies, reflecting real-time voter sentiment and campaign effectiveness.

Kalshi

The event determines the top ActBlue fundraiser for the week ending September 25, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution is based on the “Top fundraisers from this week” list published on ActBlue’s official directory page, with the leftmost candidate listed considered the top fundraiser. Each market corresponds to a specific candidate, resolving to Yes if that candidate occupies the top position at the specified time. The rules clarify that Kalshi holds no official affiliation with ActBlue, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The determination is strictly factual, relying on the publicly available ranking at the exact timestamp indicated.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls attempt to gauge stated preferences, this market represents what people are willing to *put their money on*. This can lead to divergences, particularly in dynamic situations like the ActBlue fundraising race where real-time financial support is a strong signal of momentum. It’s common to see discrepancies between poll numbers and the implied probabilities in this market, as traders weigh factors beyond simple stated intention. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the perceived strengths of each candidate.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each candidate's likelihood of success. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The market's depth and volume indicate the level of confidence traders have in their predictions regarding the ActBlue fundraising race, and the current volume is $81,419.

This market resolves around Dec 24, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the candidate who has raised the most money through ActBlue on September 25, 2026, will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from ActBlue, ensuring transparency and accuracy. Traders should monitor news sources and official ActBlue reports as the resolution date approaches to stay informed about the latest fundraising totals and potential catalysts that could influence the final result.

Several signals and events could significantly move this market. Major endorsements, shifts in campaign strategy, and unexpected fundraising appeals could all impact trader sentiment. News regarding candidate performance in related races or public appearances could also play a role. Any significant financial contributions announced by high-profile donors could also cause price fluctuations. Furthermore, changes in the overall political landscape or economic conditions could indirectly influence fundraising efforts and, consequently, the odds in this market. Keeping abreast of these developments is crucial for informed trading.