TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 18, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks political fundraising performance on a specific platform during a defined timeframe. It focuses on determining which candidate achieves the highest level of donor support as measured by the platform's public rankings. The outcome depends entirely on real-time fundraising results visible through the platform's official interface.
The event determines the top ActBlue fundraiser as of September 18, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution relies on the “Top fundraisers from this week” list published on ActBlue’s official directory page, with the leftmost candidate designated as the top fundraiser. Any of the listed candidates—James Talarico, Abdul El-Sayed, Jon Ossoff, Sherrod Brown, Mary Peltola, Troy Jackson, or Angie Nixon—will resolve their respective markets to Yes if they occupy this top position at the specified time. All markets share the same ranking methodology and disclaim any official affiliation between Kalshi and ActBlue, emphasizing that all trademarks and brand names remain property of their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional polling data. While polls attempt to gauge stated voter preference, this market reflects what individuals are willing to *wager* on, providing a measure of conviction. Discrepancies can arise from factors like strategic voting, information asymmetry, or differing interpretations of polling methodologies. It’s important to remember that polls and this market address different questions – one asks who people *say* they will support, the other who people believe will ultimately succeed in the ActBlue fundraising race.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous double auction, where traders buy and sell contracts representing their belief in each candidate's probability of winning. The price of a contract reflects the implied probability of that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. The current top outcome is unavailable, but traders are actively setting the odds based on their assessments of each candidate’s fundraising potential.
This market resolves around Dec 17, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the individual who has raised the most money through ActBlue by September 18, 2026, will be declared the winner. The resolution will be based on publicly available data from ActBlue, ensuring transparency and objectivity in determining the outcome of this market. Traders should monitor news and fundraising reports as the resolution date approaches.
Several factors could significantly influence this market between now and Dec 17, 2026. Major endorsements, significant fundraising announcements from candidates, or shifts in the political landscape could all cause price fluctuations. Unexpected events, such as a major campaign scandal or a change in campaign strategy, could also impact traders’ perceptions and shift the odds. Furthermore, broader economic conditions and overall voter enthusiasm could play a role in the ActBlue fundraising race, leading to movement in this market.