TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 11, 9:59 AM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks political fundraising performance on a specific platform during a defined timeframe. It focuses on determining which candidate achieves the highest level of donor support as measured by the platform's public rankings. The outcome depends entirely on real-time fundraising results visible through the platform's official interface.
The event determines the top ActBlue fundraiser as of September 11, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET across multiple candidate markets. Resolution for each market depends on whether the respective candidate appears as the leftmost name on ActBlue’s official “Top fundraisers from this week” directory listing at the specified time. All markets share identical ranking determination methodology, with ActBlue’s public directory serving as the sole source of truth. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any official connection to ActBlue, and all trademarks remain property of their respective owners. The leftmost position on the designated ranking list defines the top fundraiser for all outcome assessments.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to polling averages for this specific event, as comprehensive polling data on ActBlue fundraising totals is not widely available. However, prediction markets often incorporate information beyond what’s captured in polls, such as expert opinions, fundraising reports, and real-time news events. This can lead to divergences between market predictions and traditional polling data, reflecting a broader assessment of potential outcomes in the ActBlue fundraising race.
This market resolves around Dec 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the market will determine which candidate raised the most money through ActBlue on September 11, 2026. The final fundraising totals will be assessed based on publicly available data released by ActBlue or reported by reliable news sources covering campaign finance. This ensures a transparent and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Major endorsements of candidates, significant fundraising announcements, or changes in the political landscape could all shift trader sentiment. Unexpected news events related to the candidates, such as campaign controversies or policy shifts, could also influence the market. Furthermore, any data releases regarding fundraising totals from ActBlue during the relevant period would be a key catalyst, potentially causing rapid price movements in this market.