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Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?
polymarket

Who will be in the Burnham cabinet?

Volume:
$187,079

Bridget Phillipson

 - Polymarket

Bridget Phillipson - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 30, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 4:13 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bridget Phillipson

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Yvette Cooper

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$11,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Heidi Alexander

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,780
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Wes Streeting

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,423
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Angela Rayner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,718
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Lisa Nandy

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,495
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Ed Miliband

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,968
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Alan Campbell

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$7,233
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Jonathan Reynolds

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,038
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Louise Haigh

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$3,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

John Healey

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,425
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Shabana Mahmood

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,059
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Pat McFadden

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0.1¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,284
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
Yes
polymarket

Rachel Reeves

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,158
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Catherine West

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,026
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Jess Phillips

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,305
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Keir Starmer

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,653
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

James Murray

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$7,326
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Dan Jarvis

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,960
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Jo Stevens

View
0%
Yes 0.3¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,463
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Darren Jones

View
0%
Yes 1.2¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$5,398
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Liz Kendall

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,229
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

David Lammy

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,970
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Patrick Vallance

View
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,119
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
polymarket

Peter Kyle

View
0%
Yes 2.5¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
3mo 3d
No
Total markets: 25 of 30

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is confirmed as a minister in the Cabinet of the United Kingdom formed as a result of Andy Burnham being appointed Prime Minister. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” To qualify, the individual must be appointed or reappointed to a cabinet position by the United Kingdom Monarch in the period between the official appointment of Andy Burnham as Prime Minister of the UK and the seventh day thereafter, 11:59 PM UTC. If the individual will continue to serve in a preexisting cabinet position without an explicit reappointment, their continuance in the Burnham cabinet must be confirmed by an official announcement or a consensus of credible reporting by the end of the specified timeframe to qualify. Any interim or caretaker cabinet position will not count toward the resolution of this market. To qualify, the listed individual must be appointed to a cabinet minister position. The position of an ordinary minister who also attends cabinet meetings, or any other unpaid ministerial position will not be considered for resolution. If Andy Burnham is not appointed as Prime Minister of the UK by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of the United Kingdom; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the Burnham cabinet composition market dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for individual cabinet positions and appointments. The interface displays current prices reflecting trader expectations about who will fill key roles, along with 24-hour volume of $15,709 and cumulative trading volume of $187,079. Traders buy and sell shares tied to specific outcomes—such as whether particular figures will join the cabinet—with prices updating continuously as new information emerges. This live pricing mechanism lets you monitor shifting sentiment around potential appointees and cabinet structure throughout the prediction window.

Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional polling because traders stake real money on outcomes, creating a financial incentive to forecast accurately. While polls measure stated preferences at a single moment, this market aggregates ongoing bets from participants who continuously update their positions as new reporting, statements, or political developments emerge. Markets typically react faster to breaking news than polls do. However, both sources have limitations: polls capture public opinion, while prediction markets reflect trader conviction and available information. Comparing the two can reveal where expert opinion and public sentiment align or diverge on cabinet composition.

This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once cabinet appointments are verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on official announcements and credible news sources documenting who actually holds each cabinet position. Once the relevant appointments are finalized and publicly confirmed, the market will settle based on which outcomes occurred. Traders holding shares in correct predictions receive payouts proportional to their positions, while incorrect predictions expire worthless.

Cabinet composition odds are highly sensitive to political announcements, media reporting on potential appointees, and statements from key figures about their willingness to serve. Unexpected withdrawals or endorsements from prominent candidates can shift prices sharply. Economic developments, legislative priorities, or scandals involving potential cabinet members may also influence trader expectations. Shifts in political momentum, election results, or changes in party leadership can reshape the entire cabinet landscape. Real-time news coverage and insider reporting typically trigger the largest price movements, as traders rapidly repriced their positions based on fresh information about who is likely to be selected.