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Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?
polymarket

Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?

Volume:
$2,214,135

J.D. Vance

 - Polymarket

J.D. Vance - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

J.D. Vance

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,025,276
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Jared Kushner

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$252,259
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Steve Witkoff

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$234,651
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Donald Trump

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$459,648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marco Rubio

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$242,302
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 5

Intro

This market tracks whether specific US officials will attend the next in-person diplomatic meeting between United States and Iranian representatives. On Polymarket, Marco Rubio attending the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting is priced at 30.0%, while Donald Trump attending is priced at 10.0%. Resolution will be determined by official government statements and credible media consensus confirming physical attendance and active participation in negotiations. Watch for any scheduled diplomatic engagement announced before the June 30, 2026 resolution deadline, as the market will resolve once the next meeting occurs and attendee information is publicly confirmed.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not qualify as diplomatic meetings. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. Attendance refers to the listed individual being physically present and actively participating in negotiations at the meeting. If the next diplomatic meeting between representatives of the United States and Iran takes place over multiple days, attendance at any part of the meeting will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the listed individual and the governments of the United States and Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability of the leading outcome, Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?, alongside 24-hour trading volume of $238,697 and cumulative market volume of $2,176,521. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting evolving expectations about which officials or dignitaries will participate in the next bilateral diplomatic engagement between the United States and Iran.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket differ fundamentally from traditional polling because they reflect financial incentives rather than survey responses. While polls measure stated preferences at a single moment, prediction markets aggregate real-money bets from traders continuously updating their views based on news, diplomatic signals, and geopolitical developments. For this event, market participants are pricing the likelihood of specific attendees at the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting, incorporating information that may not yet appear in conventional surveys. This makes markets particularly responsive to breaking developments in US-Iran relations.

The Who will attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? market is scheduled to resolve on Jun 30, 2026. Resolution will be determined by verified information about which officials and dignitaries actually attend the next formal diplomatic meeting between the United States and Iran. The outcome depends on whether the specified attendee participates in that meeting. Traders should monitor official announcements from the US State Department, Iranian Foreign Ministry, and credible news sources for confirmation of meeting dates and participant lists as the resolution date approaches.

Several catalysts could shift odds on this market. Announcements of scheduled diplomatic talks or summits would trigger immediate repricing as traders assess likely attendee rosters. Changes in US or Iranian political leadership, cabinet reshuffles, or shifts in bilateral relations could alter expectations about which officials will represent each side. Public statements from potential attendees about their willingness to participate, visa approvals, or security clearances would also move prices. Geopolitical escalations or de-escalations, sanctions developments, and statements from allied nations could influence trader confidence in whether high-level meetings will occur and who will attend.