TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 15, 12:38 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 8, 12:00 PM ET and September 15, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, it’s difficult to directly compare the odds in this market to polling averages, as polls focused on the *number* of White House posts are not commonly conducted. However, general political polling and analysis regarding the White House’s communication strategy and focus during that period could offer some context. If sentiment shifts towards increased or decreased White House activity, we might see a correlation between polling data and how this market prices the probability of different outcomes. It's important to remember that prediction markets reflect what people are willing to wager, which can differ from stated opinions.
This market resolves around Sep 15, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The number of posts made by the White House official X (formerly Twitter) account between September 8 and September 15, 2026, will be counted to determine the winning outcome. The resolution will be based on publicly available data, ensuring transparency and accuracy. It’s important to note that the specific definition of a “post” will be clearly defined by Polymarket prior to resolution to avoid ambiguity.
Several signals or events could significantly move this market. Major policy announcements, unexpected political developments, or shifts in the White House’s communication strategy could all influence trader expectations. A change in the White House press secretary or communications director could also be a catalyst. Furthermore, any significant news events occurring during the specified timeframe – September 8-15, 2026 – could impact the volume of posts. Increased media scrutiny or a crisis situation might lead to more frequent updates, while a period of relative calm could result in fewer posts.