TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 22, 1:33 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between September 15, 12:00 PM ET and September 22, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling data. While polls capture stated preferences, this market aggregates informed speculation about the likelihood of various outcomes regarding the White House’s posting activity. It’s common to see divergences, particularly when events are subject to complex factors or hidden information. Examining these differences can offer valuable insights into the collective wisdom of forecasters versus public opinion as measured by polls. This market provides a real-time assessment of probabilities as they evolve.
This market resolves around Sep 22, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the total number of posts made by the White House official X (formerly Twitter) account between September 15 and September 22, 2026, is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will be determined based on publicly available data and will be assessed against the market’s defined outcomes. The resolution will be based on the official White House account’s activity during that seven-day period, providing a clear and objective determination of the market’s outcome.
Several factors could significantly influence this market. Major policy announcements from the White House, shifts in the political landscape, or unexpected events impacting the administration’s communication strategy could all cause traders to reassess their predictions. Changes in the White House’s social media team or a deliberate change in posting frequency would also be key signals. Furthermore, any significant news coverage related to the White House’s online presence could drive trading activity and shift the odds in this market.