TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between June 9, 12:00 PM ET and June 16, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket differ from traditional polling in that they reflect real-money incentives rather than survey responses. While pollsters measure public opinion or expert forecasts at a single point in time, prediction markets aggregate continuous trader bets on the actual outcome. For White House posting activity, markets may respond faster to breaking news, staffing changes, or communication strategy shifts than conventional polls. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst expectations can reveal whether traders are pricing in factors that traditional forecasters have overlooked.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is structured as a set of outcome contracts, each representing a specific range or count of White House posts during June 9–16, 2026. Traders buy and sell shares in each outcome, with prices reflecting the collective probability assigned by the market. The price of each contract moves inversely with supply and demand; as more traders believe an outcome is likely, its price rises. You can enter or exit positions at any time before resolution, and your profit or loss depends on the final settlement price relative to your entry price.
The market resolves on Jun 16, 2026, after the June 9–16, 2026 period closes. Resolution is determined by the actual number of posts published by the official White House social media accounts during that week. The final count will be verified against authoritative public records to settle all outcome contracts. Traders should monitor official White House communications channels in the days leading up to and immediately following the resolution date to understand the final tally.
Major political events, legislative activity, or national emergencies during June 2026 could significantly alter White House communication volume. Changes in administration communication strategy, staffing transitions, or shifts in media focus may increase or decrease posting frequency. International incidents, economic announcements, or scheduled press events could drive higher engagement and more frequent posts. Additionally, social media platform policy changes or technical issues affecting the White House accounts could impact the final count. Traders should watch political calendars and news flow for catalysts that influence executive branch messaging patterns.