TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 7, 2:58 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 31, 12:00 PM ET and August 7, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market resolves around Aug 7, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. The final count of official White House posts published between July 31 and August 7, 2026, will determine which market outcome is correct. Traders should monitor verified government channels and reputable news outlets for official announcements leading up to settlement.
Several signals could shift odds in this market before Aug 7, 2026. Major presidential announcements, scheduled press briefings, or unexpected crises often trigger increased posting activity from the White House. Conversely, extended recesses or travel schedules may suppress activity. Traders will also watch for policy rollouts, legislative updates, and media engagement levels, all of which can influence the White House's daily communication rhythm and therefore affect market expectations.