TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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Politics
White House # posts July 14 - July 21, 2026?
polymarket

White House # posts July 14 - July 21, 2026?

Volume:
$51,599

200+

 - Polymarket

200+ - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 21, 2026

Closed: Jul 21, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

200+

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$10,648
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

180-199

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,140
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

120-139

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,827
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

160-179

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,289
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

140-159

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$6,404
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

100-119

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,667
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

20-39

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

60-79

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$587
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

<20

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$534
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

40-59

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$524
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

80-99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$372
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 11

Description

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between July 14, 12:00 PM ET and July 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the White House social media activity market dashboard tracks the total number of posts the official White House account will publish during a specific week in July 2026. This market quantifies digital communication volume from the executive branch's primary social channels. Traders forecast whether the White House will post between 140 and 159 times from July 14 through July 21, 2026. The dashboard displays real-time odds, historical price movements, and current trading volume for this outcome. By monitoring this metric, participants gain insight into the intensity and pace of White House messaging during a defined period, which can reflect political events, policy announcements, or communication strategy shifts occurring that week.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through an automated market maker mechanism where traders buy and sell shares representing discrete outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome—such as whether the White House will post 140–159 times during the specified week—has a corresponding share price that fluctuates based on order flow and trader conviction. The current odds reflect the probability consensus among active participants. As traders place bets, the price adjusts in real time, with higher prices indicating greater confidence in that outcome occurring. This dynamic pricing model allows continuous discovery of the market's collective forecast regarding White House social media posting frequency.

This market resolves around Jul 21, 2026, after the conclusion of the July 14–21 period. The outcome is determined by counting the total number of posts published by official White House social media accounts during that week and verified against credible public sources. Once the final post count is confirmed, it will be matched against the outcome ranges offered in this market to determine which prediction was correct. Traders who backed the accurate range will receive their winnings, while those on incorrect outcomes will lose their stakes. The resolution process is straightforward and objective, relying on publicly available data rather than subjective interpretation.

Several factors could shift odds before Jul 21, 2026. Major political events—such as legislative votes, international crises, or significant policy announcements—often trigger increased White House communication activity. Changes in administration communication strategy or staffing could also alter posting frequency. Historical data on typical White House social media output during comparable periods provides a baseline, but unexpected developments can push activity above or below normal levels. Traders monitor recent post counts and communication trends to adjust their positions. Additionally, any public statements about planned communications or media events during that specific week could influence market expectations, as participants incorporate forward-looking signals into their forecasts.