TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 11, 2:43 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
On Polymarket, this market reflects trader expectations about the White House posting schedule through continuous price discovery. While polls offer snapshots of public opinion, prediction market odds incorporate real-time betting behavior and may diverge from traditional surveys. Traders weigh factors like political strategy, media coverage, and historical patterns when placing bets. This allows the market to capture insights that polls sometimes miss, especially regarding timing nuances. However, it's important to remember that prediction markets are influenced by liquidity and trader sentiment, which can cause temporary differences from poll averages.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders set the odds through a decentralized betting mechanism where the current price represents the collective expectation about the White House posting schedule. The top outcome's chance is reflected in its market price, with liquidity depth shown through trading volume. As new information emerges — such as official announcements or media reports — participants adjust their positions, causing prices to fluctuate. The market continuously updates based on this real-time trading activity, with the final price approaching Aug 11, 2026 serving as the best indicator of trader sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The result will be based on official White House communications and verified activity logs for the week in question. Traders should watch for any last-minute schedule changes or announcements that could affect the final count.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution. Official White House announcements about press briefings, social media activity, or scheduled addresses are key catalysts. Unexpected events such as emergencies, policy rollouts, or changes in administrative priorities may also impact trading. Additionally, media speculation and analyst commentary leading up to Aug 11, 2026 often influence trader sentiment and price movements.