TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 1, 2:03 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 25, 12:00 PM ET and September 1, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
While public opinion polls measure voter preferences through direct surveys, this market reflects trader expectations about White House posting patterns based on current events, news cycles, and historical behavior. Prediction market odds can diverge from polling averages when traders price in real-time information, such as scheduled announcements or political crises, that may not yet be reflected in broader public sentiment.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set prices through buying and selling contracts that represent different posting frequency outcomes. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about the likelihood of each outcome, influenced by recent news, White House communication schedules, and political developments leading up to Sep 1, 2026.
This market resolves around Sep 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual number of posts from the White House during the specified period is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final count will settle all positions based on whether it falls within the defined ranges offered by traders on Polymarket.
Key events that could shift this market include major presidential announcements, press conferences, emergency addresses, or significant social media activity by the White House. Any deviation from expected posting schedules — such as unusually quiet periods or bursts of activity — may cause rapid price changes as traders reassess probabilities in real time.