TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 3:48 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times White House (@WhiteHouse), posts on X between August 21, 12:00 PM ET and August 28, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Unlike traditional polling averages that gather public opinion, this market uses trader sentiment to estimate the probability of posting activity. While polls might reflect voter preferences or public expectations, this market incorporates broader market dynamics, including news events and economic indicators. Traders may price in different expectations than polls suggest, especially when new information emerges that shifts perceptions of executive communication strategies.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively buy and sell contracts representing different posting outcomes. The current odds reflect the aggregated bets of all participants, with prices adjusting based on trading volume and recent news. As the event draws nearer, any significant developments affecting expectations for White House communications can cause rapid shifts in these probabilities, influenced solely by activity on Polymarket.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the actual posting count is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final result will be determined by official White House records and widely reported news sources, ensuring an objective and transparent resolution process that aligns with public records of executive communication activity.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major political announcements, scheduled press conferences, or unexpected crises prompting increased communication from the White House may boost trading toward higher posting probabilities. Conversely, periods of silence or official schedules indicating limited briefings could drive prices down. Any significant change in the administration's public engagement strategy has the potential to move market expectations dramatically as Aug 28, 2026 approaches.