TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 30, 11:00 PM EST
Limitless
This market will resolve to "YES" if, at any point during June ’26, the “High” price of the TradingView monthly candle for SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASPCX) is equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of resolution, all prices will be rounded to two decimal places using standard rounding rules. If the relevant TradingView daily candle data is unavailable, incomplete, or clearly invalid due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official NASDAQ chart for SpaceX may be used to determine whether the specified price was reached during regular NASDAQ trading hours within the specified period.
This market will resolve to "YES" if, at any point during June ’26, the “High” price of the TradingView monthly candle for SpaceX (NASDAQ:SPCX) (https://www.tradingview.com/chart/?symbol=NASDAQ%3ASPCX) is equal to or greater than the price specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of resolution, all prices will be rounded to two decimal places using standard rounding rules. If the relevant TradingView daily candle data is unavailable, incomplete, or clearly invalid due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official NASDAQ chart for SpaceX may be used to determine whether the specified price was reached during regular NASDAQ trading hours within the specified period.
Prediction market odds often diverge from spot prices because they embed forward-looking expectations and tail risks that spot markets may not fully price in. While spot trading reflects current market sentiment, this market aggregates traders' beliefs about where SPCX will trade by a specific future date. Prediction markets tend to be more efficient at capturing consensus on discrete outcomes because traders face direct financial incentives to be accurate. Comparing the odds here to analyst price targets or traditional equity forecasts can reveal where the crowd expects upside or downside surprises.
This market resolves around Jul 1, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution hinges on identifying which price level SPCX actually reached during the specified June window. Once the resolution date passes and the final price is established, this market locks in and payouts are distributed to holders of the winning outcome. Traders should monitor SPCX price action closely as the deadline approaches to adjust positions accordingly.
Major catalysts for SPCX price movement include SpaceX funding announcements, changes in valuation multiples, shifts in space industry sentiment, and macroeconomic conditions affecting growth stocks. Regulatory developments, successful or failed launches, and competitive dynamics with other aerospace firms can also reshape trader expectations. Broader crypto market volatility may influence sentiment if SPCX is traded as a tokenized asset. Earnings surprises, management commentary, and geopolitical events affecting space commerce are worth monitoring. As June approaches, intraday price swings may accelerate as traders lock in positions ahead of resolution.