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Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?
kalshi

Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July?

Volume:
$70,169

United States

 - Kalshi

United States - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 1, 2026

Closed: Jun 30, 11:59 PM EST

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Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

United States

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$18,954
N/A
N/A
$10,331
Settled
No
kalshi

India

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$11,654
N/A
N/A
$6,170
Settled
No
kalshi

South Sudan

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,618
N/A
N/A
$3,357
Settled
No
kalshi

Kenya

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,074
N/A
N/A
$4,092
Settled
No
kalshi

Republic of the Congo

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,042
N/A
N/A
$3,480
Settled
No
kalshi

China

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,847
N/A
N/A
$5,645
Settled
No
kalshi

Rwanda

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,823
N/A
N/A
$1,789
Settled
No
kalshi

Zambia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,077
N/A
N/A
$1,573
Settled
No
kalshi

Angola

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,877
N/A
N/A
$1,647
Settled
No
kalshi

Canada

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,460
N/A
N/A
$840
Settled
No
kalshi

Burundi

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,315
N/A
N/A
$853
Settled
No
kalshi

Ethiopia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$957
N/A
N/A
$847
Settled
No
kalshi

Central African Republic

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$547
N/A
N/A
$532
Settled
No
kalshi

Nigeria

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$394
N/A
N/A
$382
Settled
No
kalshi

Tanzania

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$371
N/A
N/A
$356
Settled
No
kalshi

Somalia

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$159
N/A
N/A
$149
Settled
No
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market tracks whether a confirmed human case of Ebola disease will be officially reported in any of a specified list of countries across Africa, Asia, North America, and other regions before the resolution deadline. On Kalshi, the leading outcome—a confirmed Ebola case in Rwanda before July 1, 2026—stands at 53.0%. Resolution is determined by official reports from health authorities as specified in the contract terms. Watch for any announcements from the World Health Organization or national health ministries regarding confirmed Ebola cases in the tracked countries before July 1, 2026.

Kalshi

Resolution requires confirmed human cases of Ebola disease officially reported before July 1, 2026. Only confirmed cases qualify; suspected, probable, or presumptive cases do not count. Animal cases are excluded. Cases must be confirmed within the specified country—citizens diagnosed abroad do not count, but imported cases diagnosed within the country do count. Resolution is based on the date of official confirmation, not symptom onset. Cases confirmed on or after July 1, 2026 do not qualify regardless of when infection occurred. Each country listed represents a separate resolution criterion.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Which countries will report an Ebola disease case before July? event on Kalshi. It displays the current probability that a human case of Ebola will be reported in India before Jul 1, 2026, along with historical price movements and 24-hour trading volume of $4,142. Users can monitor how market sentiment shifts as new health data, outbreak reports, or epidemiological developments emerge. The dashboard provides transparency into how prediction market participants are pricing the likelihood of Ebola cases across different countries during this period.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trading by informed participants and differ from traditional analyst forecasts or public health agency statements. While epidemiologists and health organizations issue probabilistic assessments based on surveillance data and outbreak modeling, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information through price discovery. Market participants incorporate breaking news, travel patterns, and disease surveillance reports into their bids. This event's current pricing reflects collective expectations about Ebola case reporting across multiple countries. Comparing market odds to expert forecasts reveals where traders see asymmetric risk relative to official guidance.

The Which countries will report an Ebola disease market resolves on Jul 1, 2026. Resolution hinges on whether official health authorities report confirmed human cases of Ebola disease in the specified countries before that deadline. Traders should monitor announcements from national health ministries, the World Health Organization, and disease surveillance networks for case confirmations. The event tracks multiple countries, so outcomes may vary by jurisdiction. Participants should stay informed about evolving epidemiological data and outbreak reports in the months leading to resolution.

Several catalysts could shift odds for this event. Confirmed Ebola cases reported by health authorities in any tracked country would likely increase probabilities sharply. Conversely, extended periods without new cases or successful containment of known outbreaks could lower them. Travel restrictions or border closures in response to Ebola activity would signal elevated risk. Changes in surveillance capacity or laboratory confirmation rates in key regions could also influence pricing. International health alerts, WHO statements, and epidemiological reports on viral spread patterns will be closely watched. Market participants will react to any credible evidence of human-to-human transmission or case clusters.