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Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?
polymarket

Which company has the best Coding AI model end of June?

Volume:
$121,799

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 30, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$19,314
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,450
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,235
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

xAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,341
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$12,215
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$11,689
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$10,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$9,105
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,607
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,844
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,058
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$894
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$868
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$747
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company J

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company L

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company E

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks which company will own the top-ranked coding AI model according to the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard. On Polymarket, Anthropic leads at 91.5%, with Google at 5.0%. The resolution will be determined by checking the Coding leaderboard rank at https://lmarena.ai/ on June 30, 2026, at 12:00 PM ET, using the Text Arena Coding tab with style control off as the official source. Watch for major model releases and benchmark updates leading up to the June 30, 2026 resolution check.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the company that owns the model that has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Which company has the best Coding AI model end of May? event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that each company—including xAI, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, and Meta—will be crowned as having the best coding AI model by end of May 2026. The interface shows live price movements, 24-hour trading volume of $12,978, and cumulative group volume of $121,799. Users can monitor how market sentiment shifts as new model releases, benchmarks, and technical announcements emerge throughout the prediction period.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money consensus from traders actively pricing the outcome, whereas analyst forecasts typically rely on expert opinion and published research. Market participants often incorporate breaking news about model releases and benchmark results faster than traditional analyst reports. Comparing the two reveals whether the crowd is more bullish or bearish than expert consensus. Analyst forecasts tend to lag market pricing when new technical achievements or competitive announcements occur, making prediction markets a leading indicator of perceived coding AI dominance.

Major coding AI model releases or updates from xAI, OpenAI, Anthropic, Google, or Meta will likely drive significant price swings. Public benchmark results—such as HumanEval, LeetCode, or proprietary coding challenge scores—serve as key catalysts. Developer adoption metrics, GitHub integration announcements, and enterprise partnerships can shift market perception of which model is truly best. Security vulnerabilities or limitations discovered in leading models may reduce their odds. Regulatory announcements, funding news, or talent acquisitions by competing companies also influence trader sentiment. Real-time market reaction to these events is reflected immediately in contract prices.