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Science and Technology
Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
polymarket

Which company has the #3 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)

Volume:
$31,295

Anthropic

 - Polymarket

Anthropic - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 1, 2026

Closed: May 30, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Anthropic

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$8,831
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Google

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,870
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Mistral

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$3,765
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

OpenAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,711
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

ByteDance

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Alibaba

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,759
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

xAI

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,502
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meta

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,286
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Z.ai

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,193
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

DeepSeek

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$939
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Baidu

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$875
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Amazon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$851
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Meituan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$757
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moonshot

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$732
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Microsoft

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company C

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company D

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company H

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company J

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company L

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company G

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company F

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company A

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company B

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Company K

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks which company will own the third-ranked AI model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard with style control enabled. On Polymarket, Anthropic is priced at 98.7% to hold the number three position, while DeepSeek is at 0.7%. The market resolves based on the Chatbot Arena's official leaderboard rankings checked on May 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET, using the Text Arena Overall rankings with style control on as the authoritative source. Watch the Chatbot Arena leaderboard updates leading into the May 31, 2026 resolution date to track shifts in model performance rankings.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for which company will hold the third-ranked AI model by end of May 2026. It displays the current probability for each outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $2,740 across all outcomes in this event. The dashboard aggregates order book depth, recent trades, and cumulative volume of $31,295 to help traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity for this AI model ranking prediction.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect real-money trader conviction and typically incorporate analyst research, industry reports, and public statements from AI labs. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, prediction markets create continuous price discovery as new information emerges. Traders betting on this event weigh factors such as model performance benchmarks, release timelines, and competitive positioning. Market odds often diverge from static analyst predictions because they update dynamically, allowing participants to adjust their views as the May 2026 resolution date approaches.

The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution depends on identifying which company's AI model ranks third globally at that moment, based on established benchmarks and performance metrics for large language models and multimodal systems. The determination of the number three position will be assessed using publicly available model rankings and performance data available at the resolution date. Traders should monitor AI model leaderboards, benchmark releases, and official company announcements in the months leading up to resolution.

Major model releases or significant performance improvements from Anthropic, OpenAI, Google, Meta, or other AI developers could shift the ranking. Benchmark results on standardized tests, real-world capability demonstrations, and published research papers all influence trader expectations. Announcements about new model versions, architectural breakthroughs, or competitive positioning statements from company leadership may trigger price movements. Additionally, industry consolidation, partnership announcements, or shifts in model evaluation methodologies could alter perceptions of which company will hold the third-ranked position by end of May 2026.