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$133,388,117

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405,232

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30,526

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2,693

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Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?
polymarket

Where will the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting happen?

Volume:
$16,476,235

Switzerland

 - Polymarket

Switzerland - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 25, 2026

Closed: Jun 29, 8:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Switzerland

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,280,817
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

No Meeting by June 30

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,647,550
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pakistan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,886,452
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Qatar

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,363,500
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iran

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,020,652
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other - Europe

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$910,905
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Iraq

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$853,361
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Oman

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$837,794
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Austria

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$674,608
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$595,622
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Turkey

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$564,566
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

USA

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$501,551
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Egypt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$483,367
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Other - Middle East/North Africa

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$425,593
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Saudi Arabia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$370,771
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Russia

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$316,353
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

UAE

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$297,700
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Italy

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$287,263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kazakhstan

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$157,809
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 19

Intro

This market tracks the location of the next in-person diplomatic meeting between US and Iranian government representatives authorized to negotiate on behalf of their governments. On Polymarket, Switzerland is the leading outcome at 92.3%, while no qualifying meeting occurring by the resolution deadline stands at 3.8%. Resolution will be determined by official statements from both governments and credible media consensus. Watch for any public announcements of scheduled diplomatic talks as the June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET resolution deadline approaches, which marks the end of the betting period for this market.

Polymarket

This market will resolve according to the country in which the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding US-Iranian relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify. Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count. The meeting must be in-person (including indirect meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in the Middle East or North Africa other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Middle East/North Africa”. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any country in Europe other than the listed options, this market will resolve to “Other - Europe”. For the purposes of this market, additional countries’ regions will be determined based on the US State Department’s regional classifications in the “Countries and Areas List” (https://www.state.gov/countries-and-areas-list). Any country classified as part of “Europe and Eurasia” will be considered to be in Europe. Any country classified as part of “Near East (Middle East and North Africa)” will be considered to be in the Middle East. If the next diplomatic meeting between government representatives of the United States and Iran takes place in any unlisted country which is not classified in either of the specified regions, this market will resolve to “Other”. If no qualifying meeting takes place by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No Meeting by June 30”. If a qualifying meeting occurs in more than one country, resolution will be based on where the first qualifying diplomatic session takes place. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and Iran, and a consensus of credible reporting.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the next US-Iran diplomatic meeting location. It displays the current probability of each potential venue, including Pakistan, Oman, Iraq, Switzerland, and others. You can monitor live price movements, 24-hour trading volume of $975,396, and historical odds charts. The interface shows which outcomes are gaining or losing trader conviction, helping you identify shifting sentiment about where bilateral talks are most likely to occur before the Jun 30, 2026 resolution date.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader expectations rather than public opinion polls. While traditional polls measure general sentiment about US-Iran relations, prediction markets aggregate financial incentives and specialized knowledge from participants betting real money on specific venues. Markets often move faster than polls in response to diplomatic signals, sanctions announcements, or intermediary country statements. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in scenarios that broader public awareness has not yet reflected, offering insight into informed expectations versus general perception.

The market resolves on Jun 30, 2026. Resolution depends on official confirmation of the next bilateral or multilateral diplomatic meeting between US and Iranian representatives. The outcome is determined by the location where such a meeting occurs, whether it is a formal negotiation, back-channel talks, or multilateral forum. If no meeting takes place by the deadline, or if the location cannot be definitively established, the market may resolve to a default outcome. Traders should monitor official government statements and credible news sources for confirmation of meeting announcements and venues.

Key catalysts include sanctions policy shifts, statements from intermediary nations like Oman or Pakistan, UN General Assembly sessions, or direct diplomatic communications. Regional escalation or de-escalation could accelerate or delay talks. Announcements from the US State Department or Iranian Foreign Ministry naming a venue or date would immediately reprrice all outcomes. Involvement of European mediators, Gulf states, or international organizations may signal preference for specific neutral locations. Election cycles, leadership transitions, or nuclear negotiations progress could also influence where and when the next meeting occurs, driving significant odds movements before Jun 30, 2026.