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When will Xi leave the USA?
polymarket

When will Xi leave the USA?

Volume:
$13,770

September 25

 - Polymarket

September 25 - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 26, 2026

Closed: Sep 26, 5:54 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

September 25

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$9,381
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 2h
Yes
polymarket

September 24 or earlier

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,390
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 2h
No
polymarket

September 26

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$698
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 2h
No
polymarket

September 29 or later

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$562
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 2h
No
polymarket

September 28

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$381
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 2h
No
polymarket

September 27

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$357
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 2h
No
polymarket

Other

View
N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1w 1d 2h
No
Total markets: 7

Description

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States. Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Polymarket

Xi Jinping is scheduled to begin a state visit to the United States on September 24, 2026, where he will be received by Donald Trump at the White House. This market will resolve according to the date, in Eastern Time, on which Xi Jinping physically departs from the United States. Departure is defined as the moment Xi Jinping leaves the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States, or the moment of take-off of an aircraft which contains Xi Jinping and subsequently lands outside of the United States. If Xi Jinping does not physically enter the terrestrial or maritime territory of the United States by October 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or has not departed by that date, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the governments of the United States and China; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, the dashboard for the Xi Jinping departure market tracks the current odds of various outcomes related to when Xi Jinping will leave office. You’ll find a price history chart showing how the probabilities have shifted over time, alongside the 24-hour trading volume, which currently stands at $2,956. The total volume traded in this market is $13,770. This allows traders to gauge market sentiment and see how actively the market is being traded, providing insights into the collective prediction about this event.

Currently, prediction market odds offer a different perspective than traditional polling data regarding the timing of Xi Jinping’s potential departure. While polls often capture stated preferences or current sentiment, this market reflects what individuals are willing to put their money on. This difference can be significant, as prediction markets incentivize accurate forecasting, whereas polls may be subject to biases or inaccuracies. Examining this discrepancy can provide a more nuanced understanding of expectations surrounding this political event.

On Polymarket, this market is priced through a continuous auction mechanism, where traders buy and sell shares representing their belief in different outcomes. The price of each share directly corresponds to the implied probability of that outcome occurring. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect the collective wisdom of the crowd. This dynamic pricing ensures that the market odds continuously adapt to new information and changing perceptions regarding the Xi Jinping departure timeline.

This market resolves around Oct 8, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Resolution will be based on the date Xi Jinping officially leaves his position as President of China, as reported by widely recognized and impartial news sources. The market will determine which outcome—a specific date range—accurately predicts the timing of his departure. The resolution process aims to provide a clear and objective determination based on publicly available information.

Several signals or events could significantly impact this market. Any major political developments within China, such as shifts in power dynamics within the Communist Party, unexpected policy changes, or public health crises, could all influence trader sentiment. Economic indicators, international relations, and even significant geopolitical events could also play a role. Furthermore, statements from key political figures or credible leaks regarding Xi Jinping’s plans could cause substantial price movements in this market.