When will the US House censure another member?

Kalshi

The event resolves to Yes if any member of the United States House of Representatives is censured by Congress at any point before October 1, 2026, November 1, 2026, December 1, 2026, or January 1, 2027, as defined across four sequential primary rules. These rules establish four distinct but overlapping deadline-based triggers—all focusing on the same underlying condition of a House member being censured. The earliest occurrence of such a censure event before any of these four successive dates will finalize the market as Yes. No further action or interpretation beyond the factual documentation of a censure prior to the relevant cutoff is required; the market does not depend on the specific reason for censure, the chamber initiating it, or subsequent political ramifications.