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When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
⌛Ending Soon
limitless

When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?

Volume:
$0

Before Oct 1, 2026

 - Limitless

Before Oct 1, 2026 - Limitless

1W

News

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Neutral

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·

Resolved Sep 15, 2026

Closed: Sep 15, 4:13 PM EST

limitless

Limitless

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
limitless

Before Oct 1, 2026

View
N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 13h 41m
Yes
limitless

Before Jan 1, 2027

View
N/A
N/A
99.8¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
1d 13h 41m
Yes
Total markets: 2

Description

If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment Outcome verified from United States Congress and Congressional Record.

Limitless

If the Senate has conducted any recorded vote on the CLARITY Act after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. This includes: Roll call votes Recorded votes Yea-and-nay votes Electronic votes (in the House) Division/standing votes The following do NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion: Voice votes where individual member positions are not recorded Unanimous consent agreements without a recorded vote Votes in committee, unless the bill/motion specifically refers to a committee vote Procedural determinations by the presiding officer Deemed passage without an actual vote For clarity: A vote on cloture regarding the bill/motion, including cloture on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion, DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on the rule governing debate of the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion if the bill/motion specifically refers to that rule A vote on a motion to proceed to the bill/motion DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on final passage DOES satisfy the Payout Criterion A vote on an amendment to the bill/motion does NOT satisfy the Payout Criterion unless the bill/motion specifically refers to that amendment Outcome verified from United States Congress and Congressional Record.

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds offer a distinct perspective compared to traditional spot price expectations surrounding the timing of the Senate vote on the Clarity Act. While analysts and polls attempt to forecast a timeline, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, reflecting a constantly updated assessment of the likelihood of a vote occurring by specific dates. This differs from static predictions often found in expert opinions, as traders can adjust their positions based on new developments. The collective judgment within this market provides a dynamic forecast, potentially identifying overlooked factors influencing the vote's schedule.

On Limitless, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders buy and sell contracts representing different potential resolution dates for the Senate vote on the Clarity Act. The price of each contract reflects the probability of that specific date being the actual vote date, as determined by supply and demand. On Limitless, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders are constantly adjusting their bids and asks based on news, political developments, and their own analysis, leading to a fluid and responsive price discovery process. The market efficiently incorporates new information, offering a real-time assessment of the vote's likely timing.

This market resolves around Oct 1, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the date of the Senate vote on the Clarity Act is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market will settle to 100% for the contract corresponding to the actual date the Senate votes on the bill. Any votes occurring outside of the defined contract dates will result in a 0% payout for all contracts. The resolution will be based on official records of the Senate proceedings, ensuring a transparent and objective determination of the outcome for this market.

Several signals and events could significantly impact this market. Key catalysts include statements from Senate leadership regarding the Clarity Act's scheduling, committee hearings, and any amendments proposed to the bill. Unexpected political developments, such as shifts in party priorities or major legislative roadblocks, could also cause substantial price movements. Furthermore, public pressure and lobbying efforts related to the bill’s provisions may influence the timing of a vote. Any news indicating a firm date for a Senate vote would likely cause a rapid shift in probabilities within this market.