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When will Bitcoin cross $75k again?
kalshi

When will Bitcoin cross $75k again?

Volume:
$58,130

Before Aug 21, 2026

 - Kalshi

Before Aug 21, 2026 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 21, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 12:54 AM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before Aug 21, 2026

View
100%
88%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$13,768
N/A
N/A
$6,488
1w 3d 6h
Yes
kalshi

Before Aug 28, 2026

View
100%
84%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$12,362
N/A
N/A
$6,954
1w 3d 6h
Yes
kalshi

Before Sep 18, 2026

View
100%
54%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$9,674
N/A
N/A
$4,804
1w 3d 6h
Yes
kalshi

Before Sep 11, 2026

View
100%
76%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$7,531
N/A
N/A
$3,061
1w 3d 6h
Yes
kalshi

Before Sep 4, 2026

View
100%
72%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,887
N/A
N/A
$2,350
1w 3d 6h
Yes
kalshi

Before Sep 25, 2026

View
100%
49%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,120
N/A
N/A
$2,994
1w 3d 6h
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 2, 2026

View
100%
38%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,571
N/A
N/A
$2,668
1w 3d 6h
Yes
kalshi

Before Oct 9, 2026

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,217
N/A
N/A
$1,566
1w 3d 6h
Yes
Total markets: 8

Description

This event tracks whether Bitcoin's price will surpass a key benchmark within a defined timeframe starting from a specific date. The outcome depends on real-time price data measured against a standardized index, with multiple possible windows for achievement.

Kalshi

All markets resolve based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index (BRTI) using a trimmed mean calculation. The resolution value is derived by aggregating BRTI values from market issuance until the specified expiration time, removing the top and bottom 20% of values, and averaging the remaining 60%. If Bitcoin's price exceeds $75,000 at any point during the measurement window—starting August 19, 2026, and ending on the respective market's target date before 11:59 PM ET—the market resolves immediately to Yes. Should no data be available at the exact expiration time, the market resolves to No. Early resolution occurs if the price threshold is definitively crossed prior to the target date and time, regardless of the specific market's expiration window.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the Bitcoin $75k comeback market dashboard tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $50,413. It shows how traders on this venue price the likelihood of Bitcoin reaching $75k again before the market closes. The interface updates continuously to reflect shifts in market sentiment and trading activity, giving users a clear view of where the market stands at any moment.

Compared to analyst forecasts, prediction market odds for this market often reflect a blend of short-term trader sentiment and recent price action. Analysts may incorporate longer-term fundamentals, macro trends, and macroeconomic indicators into their projections, while traders on Kalshi react more quickly to news, whale movements, and market momentum. This can lead to divergence, especially during periods of high volatility or major events like Federal Reserve decisions.

On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where buyers and sellers submit bids and asks. The current implied probability reflects the weighted average of all active orders, adjusting instantly with each trade. Market depth, recent price swings, and overall trading volume of $58,130 all influence how traders assess the chances of Bitcoin hitting $75k before Oct 10, 2026.

This market resolves around Oct 10, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. If Bitcoin’s price closes above $75k at any point before then, the market settles accordingly based on transparent, publicly available data.

Several signals could shift odds in this market. Major announcements from central banks affecting global liquidity may drive Bitcoin toward new highs. High-profile institutional inflows, large exchange listings, or regulatory clarity in key markets could also provide momentum. Conversely, macroeconomic setbacks, security breaches, or prolonged market corrections might push prices below $75k, altering trader expectations before Oct 10, 2026.