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When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?
kalshi

When will AP call the South Carolina Senate runoff?

Volume:
$37,093

Before 10PM Aug 25

 - Kalshi

Before 10PM Aug 25 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 26, 2026

Closed: Aug 25, 9:08 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Before 10PM Aug 25

View
100%
10%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,327
N/A
N/A
$2,855
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Before Aug 26

View
100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,551
N/A
N/A
$2,551
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Before 8AM Aug 26

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,469
N/A
N/A
$2,405
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Before 2AM Aug 26

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,241
N/A
N/A
$2,221
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Before 8PM Aug 25

View
0%
33%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,242
N/A
N/A
$4,138
Settled
No
kalshi

Before 7:15PM Aug 25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,181
N/A
N/A
$3,877
Settled
No
kalshi

Before 9PM Aug 25

View
0%
66%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$6,078
N/A
N/A
$3,865
Settled
No
kalshi

Before 7:30PM Aug 25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,174
N/A
N/A
$2,719
Settled
No
kalshi

Before 8:30PM Aug 25

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$830
N/A
N/A
$571
Settled
No
Total markets: 9

Description

This event tracks when the Associated Press will officially declare a winner in a key political race, reflecting the speed at which major news organizations report definitive results. It focuses on the timing of an authoritative call rather than the voting process itself.

Kalshi

Multiple markets exist with varying time thresholds for when the Associated Press must make its first definitive call of a winner in the 2026 South Carolina special U.S. Senate Republican primary runoff. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if AP issues an explicit, unqualified declaration of victory for any candidate before the specified deadline, ranging from 7:15 PM ET on August 25 to 8:00 AM ET on August 26. The call must appear on AP’s primary platforms without hedging language, and the resolution time depends solely on when the call becomes publicly visible. Retractions after a call does not affect the outcome. Preliminary indicators, third-party calls, or speculative statements do not qualify.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the dashboard for the AP South Carolina Senate runoff call market tracks real-time odds, price history, and 24-hour volume of $28,641. It shows how traders on Kalshi are pricing the likelihood of when the Associated Press will declare a winner in the South Carolina Senate runoff election. The interface updates continuously to reflect market activity and shifts in trader sentiment leading up to the resolution date.

Compared to polling averages, this market often reflects a more nuanced outlook by incorporating factors beyond raw voter preferences, such as campaign dynamics, fundraising status, and historical trends. While polls provide a snapshot of public opinion, traders in this market price in real-time information and expectations about events that could sway the outcome. This can lead to divergence, where the market implies a different timing for the AP call than the most recent polling averages suggest.

This market resolves around Sep 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The market settles based on the date the Associated Press officially declares a winner in the South Carolina Senate runoff, as reported through authoritative news outlets and official election results. No additional interpretation or platform-specific rules are needed beyond confirming the public announcement.