TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 28, 10:15 PM EST
Kalshi
The event involves monitoring a specific television interview to determine whether certain key terms are mentioned by a prominent political figure. The outcome depends on the precise use of designated phrases during the broadcast, with strict criteria for what constitutes a valid mention.
The event centers on whether Volodymyr Zelenskyy mentions specific predefined terms during his appearance on Fox News: Hannity. Each market corresponds to a unique term or phrase (e.g., Trump, Ceasefire, NATO). For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' Zelenskyy must utter the exact phrase, or a plural/possessive form of it, during the live broadcast in an official capacity. The resolution relies primarily on video footage from the broadcast, supplemented by official transcripts if necessary. If the event is canceled or fails to meet qualification criteria—such as Zelenskyy not speaking officially—the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all others to 'No.' Postponements announced within a specified timeframe keep markets open. Promotional content during the broadcast counts toward resolution, but advertisements and externally sourced materials do not. All outcomes hinge strictly on the live broadcast content.
Currently, this market’s odds reflect a trader consensus that can diverge from traditional analyst forecasts. While analysts may weigh geopolitical nuances and historical rhetoric, traders in this market react to immediate signals and perceived probabilities of specific mentions. Comparing the two offers a unique view of public versus expert expectation, especially given the volatile nature of political interviews.
This market resolves around Aug 12, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. Traders will watch the broadcast transcript and reputable news coverage to determine whether the statements match the defined outcomes, and the market will settle accordingly.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 12, 2026. Direct statements from Zelenskyy’s team about interview preparation, breaking news related to the conflict, and Hannity’s prior teasers about topic focus may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, any last-minute polling data reflecting public interest in specific issues could cause rapid adjustments in market odds as the interview date approaches.