TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 8 2026?
kalshi
polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 8 2026?

Volume:
$857,865

Above $87.99

 - Kalshi

Above $87.99 - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 2:30 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Above $87.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$137,879
N/A
N/A
$30,298
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $86.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$117,657
N/A
N/A
$31,848
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $85

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$45,869
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $85.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$43,000
N/A
N/A
$24,673
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $84.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$8,914
N/A
N/A
$5,904
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↓ $90

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,675
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $83.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$2,955
N/A
N/A
$2,760
Settled
Yes
polymarket

↑ $95

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$280
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
kalshi

Above $88.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$177,871
N/A
N/A
$55,963
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $89.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$139,669
N/A
N/A
$44,153
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $90.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$42,617
N/A
N/A
$21,483
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $91.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$23,961
N/A
N/A
$9,091
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $100

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$17,642
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $93.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$16,266
N/A
N/A
$12,320
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $80

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$14,874
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $92.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13,717
N/A
N/A
$7,304
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $96.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$10,018
N/A
N/A
$7,192
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $97.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$9,541
N/A
N/A
$5,090
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $94.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$8,550
N/A
N/A
$5,166
Settled
No
kalshi

Above $95.99

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$7,123
N/A
N/A
$4,366
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $125

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,563
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $75

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,246
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $105

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,220
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↓ $60

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,015
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

↑ $120

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,809
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 29

Intro

This market tracks whether WTI crude oil will exceed specific price thresholds during the week of June 8, 2026. The consensus probability that WTI will settle above 86.99 USD/Bbl on June 9, 2026 stands at 99.0%, aggregated from Polymarket and Kalshi. Resolution will be determined by Pyth Network data. Watch the June 9, 2026 settlement price of the July 2026 WTI contract, which serves as the resolution trigger for this event group.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Divergence Detected

Issue: Kalshi resolves on a single daily settlement price on June 9, 2026, while Polymarket resolves on whether any 1-minute candle during the week touches the specified level. Additionally, Kalshi specifies the July 2026 contract, while Polymarket uses the Active Month contract, which may transition from July to August during the week.Hero tip: Treat these as separate markets with different risk profiles. Kalshi is a point-in-time bet on June 9 settlement; Polymarket is a touch-any-time bet across the entire week. The Active Month switch on Polymarket (expected around June 15–17 based on CME specs) may shift which contract's prices count. Verify the exact Active Month transition date before the week of June 8 to avoid surprises.

Critical divergence points:

  • Kalshi: 15 binary markets, each resolving YES if the daily settlement price for the July 2026 WTI contract on June 9, 2026 exceeds a specified threshold (ranging from $83.99 to $97.99/Bbl). Single measurement point: June 9, 2026 settlement. Key quote: 'If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil(July 2026 contract) on June 09, 2026 is above [threshold] USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes.'
  • Polymarket: 15 binary markets on whether the Active Month WTI contract will touch specified high prices ($95–$125/Bbl) or low prices ($60–$90/Bbl) during any 1-minute candle in trading sessions of the week of June 8, 2026. Uses Pyth 1-minute candle data with CME official daily high/low as fallback. Active Month may switch from July to August mid-week. Key quote: 'This market will resolve to Yes if, at any point after market creation and during a trading session of the week of June 8 2026, any 1-minute candle for the Active Month of WTI Crude Oil futures has a final High or Low price equal to or beyond the listed price.'
Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

What will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit Week of June 8 2026?

Frequently asked questions

Polymarket and Kalshi can show different implied probabilities for the same outcome because of liquidity, fee structure, participant mix, and how each venue defines the contract. Each platform attracts different trader demographics, liquidity pools, and risk appetites. Polymarket frames the question around hitting a high threshold, while Kalshi focuses on a specific settlement price floor, creating different outcome definitions. Polymarket typically draws larger volumes and longer-tail speculators, whereas Kalshi attracts regulated derivatives traders. Fee structures, user interface design, and platform-specific promotional activity also influence where traders concentrate capital, causing temporary price misalignment between venues.

Key catalysts include OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical tensions in oil-producing regions, US inventory reports, Federal Reserve interest-rate signals, and global recession indicators. A surprise supply disruption or major conflict escalation could spike WTI sharply higher. Conversely, stronger-than-expected economic data or coordinated strategic petroleum reserve releases could pressure prices lower. Weekly API and EIA inventory data releases typically trigger intraday volatility. Currency movements, particularly USD strength, also influence crude valuations and trader positioning heading into the June 8 week.