TOTAL VOLUME:
$146.6b
24H VOL:
$161,047,490
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,781,800,361
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,744,915,607
504,917
Markets across
37,612
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,946
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
38%
VS.
Kalshi:
62%
Smart Kitchen (3+ times)
- Kalshi
Smart Kitchen (3+ times) - Kalshi
1W
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Vol.
·
Resolves Nov 11, 2026
Time left: 19d:19h:21m
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During its upcoming earnings call, Wingstop will discuss financial performance and strategic initiatives. Market participants will monitor whether specific phrases are mentioned, reflecting potential focus areas or challenges addressed by company representatives.
The event evaluates whether certain specified phrases are uttered by any Wingstop Inc. representative during the next live earnings call or official broadcast, including Q+A sessions. Resolution relies primarily on video recordings of the call; if video consensus cannot be achieved among Kalshi employees, published transcripts from news sources will be referenced. Phrases must appear in exact form, or as plurals or possessives, with grammatical or tense variations excluded from payout eligibility. Kalshi explicitly disclaims any affiliation with Wingstop Inc., and all related trademarks remain property of their respective owners.
Currently, prediction market odds reflect a collective forecast of what will be discussed on the Wingstop earnings call, derived from the wisdom of the crowd. These odds often differ from traditional analyst forecasts, as they incorporate a wider range of information and perspectives. While analysts typically focus on financial metrics and company performance, this market captures expectations about specific language or topics that management might address. It's a unique way to gauge market anticipation beyond standard financial analysis, potentially revealing areas of investor focus that traditional reports might miss.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction, meaning traders can buy and sell contracts at prices determined by supply and demand. As more traders participate, the prices adjust to reflect their collective beliefs about the likelihood of each outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of a contract represents the probability of that specific statement being made during the Wingstop earnings call. Higher prices indicate a greater perceived chance of the outcome occurring, while lower prices suggest a lower probability. This dynamic pricing mechanism allows for efficient discovery of information and reflects the aggregated intelligence of the market participants.
This market resolves around Nov 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript of the Wingstop earnings call. The contracts will pay out based on whether the specified statement or topic was mentioned during the call, as recorded in that transcript. The market's resolution is based on objective evidence from the official record, ensuring a transparent and verifiable outcome for all participants.
Several signals could influence the prices in this market leading up to Nov 11, 2026. Any news regarding Wingstop's recent performance, industry trends, or potential challenges could shift expectations about the earnings call content. Unexpected economic data releases or competitor announcements could also play a role. Furthermore, analyst reports or social media sentiment surrounding the company could impact trading activity and, consequently, the market prices. Major announcements from Wingstop management prior to the call, even seemingly minor ones, could also create movement in this market.