TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 13, 10:10 AM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks specific phrases that Wes Moore might mention during his appearance on Fox News Sunday. It focuses on whether he utters certain keywords or combinations of words during the live broadcast, with precise criteria for what constitutes a qualifying mention.
Multiple markets exist, each tied to a specific phrase or set of phrases that Wes Moore may say during the Fox News Sunday broadcast. A market resolves to 'Yes' if Moore utters the exact phrase—or any plural/possessive form of it—during the live show, while speaking in an official capacity. Resolution relies primarily on live video footage; if inconclusive, official transcripts are used. Certain conditions disqualify payouts, such as grammatical variations, off-mic comments, or content not part of the original broadcast. If the event is canceled, the 'Event does not qualify' market resolves to 'Yes,' and all others to 'No.' Postponements within 14 days keep markets open. Each market operates independently based on its unique phrase requirement.
Currently, it's difficult to directly compare prediction market odds to traditional analyst forecasts for specific statements within this interview. Unlike polls that ask about overall approval or broad expectations, this market focuses on granular predictions about what Governor Moore will actually say. Analyst predictions tend to be more qualitative and less focused on precise wording. However, if analysts anticipate specific topics will be raised, this market will reflect whether traders believe related statements are likely to be made during the Wes Moore Fox News interview. This provides a unique, forward-looking perspective.
On Kalshi, this market is priced using a continuous double auction. Traders buy and sell contracts representing the probability of specific statements being made by Wes Moore. The price of a contract reflects the market's collective belief about that outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. As more traders participate and new information becomes available, the prices adjust accordingly, providing a dynamic assessment of potential interview content. The current prices indicate the perceived likelihood of each statement, with higher prices suggesting a greater probability of being mentioned.
This market resolves around Sep 27, 2026, following the conclusion of Wes Moore’s interview on Fox News Sunday. The outcome will be determined by a review of the official transcript or a reliable recording of the interview. The resolution will verify whether each statement included in this market was, in fact, uttered by Governor Moore during the broadcast. The outcome will be confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting, and the market will settle accordingly, distributing payouts to winning contract holders.
Several factors could significantly influence this market before the interview takes place. Any pre-interview statements made by Wes Moore or Fox News hosts could shift expectations. Breaking news events related to topics Governor Moore is likely to discuss, such as Maryland policy or national political issues, could also impact trading activity. Furthermore, the release of the interview’s planned agenda or a list of anticipated questions could cause prices to adjust. Ultimately, any information that alters perceptions of the interview’s likely content will move this market.