TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Rollback / Roll Back
- Kalshi
Rollback / Roll Back - Kalshi
1W
News
Positive
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Vol.
·
Resolved Sep 15, 2026
Closed: Sep 15, 5:32 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether specific phrases are mentioned by Walmart's CEO during a key industry conference. Outcomes depend solely on the verbal content of the address, verified through official broadcasts or transcripts.
The event resolves based on whether Dave Guggina, Walmart's CEO, utters any of the specified phrases during his official remarks at the Goldman Sachs Global Retailing Conference 2026. Each market corresponds to a unique phrase or set of synonymous phrases (e.g., "Gas / Gasoline / Oil"). A market resolves to Yes only if the exact phrase (or its plural/possessive form) is spoken by Guggina in an official capacity during the live conference broadcast. Verification uses either the live stream or, if needed, official transcripts. Grammatical variations, unauthenticated off-mic comments, and pre-recorded content do not count. If the event is canceled, the "Event does not qualify" market wins, and all others lose. Postponements within 14 days keep markets open.
Currently, this market offers a unique perspective compared to traditional analyst forecasts for the Walmart CEO’s conference comments. While analysts typically provide qualitative assessments or broad predictions, this market aggregates the wisdom of the crowd, translating diverse opinions into quantifiable probabilities. Discrepancies between the market’s implied probabilities and analyst expectations can highlight areas of disagreement or overlooked factors. It’s important to remember that analyst forecasts are often based on models and assumptions, while this market reflects real-time trading based on available information and participant beliefs.
This market resolves around Sep 30, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, the resolution will be based on a review of the official transcript or reliable news coverage of the Walmart CEO’s remarks during the Goldman Sachs Global Retailing Conference. The outcome will be determined by which statement, or combination of statements, most accurately reflects what the CEO actually said. The market will settle to 100 for the outcome that matches the CEO’s comments and 0 for all others.
Several signals or events could significantly impact this market before Sep 30, 2026. Any news regarding Walmart’s recent performance, strategic shifts, or potential announcements could influence trader sentiment. Unexpected economic data releases or changes in the retail landscape could also play a role. Furthermore, any pre-conference interviews or statements from the CEO or other Walmart executives could provide clues about their likely messaging, causing shifts in the market. Finally, broader market trends and investor confidence in the retail sector could also indirectly affect trading activity in this market.