TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 24, 10:25 AM EST
Kalshi
These markets track whether specific words or phrases are mentioned by Verizon Communications representatives during their earnings call on July 24, 2026. Each market resolves to Yes if the corresponding term is spoken at any point during the call, including the Q&A session.
Each market resolves to Yes if the specified term is spoken by any Verizon Communications Inc. representative, including the call operator, during the earnings call and Q&A session scheduled for July 24, 2026. The exact phrase or word must be used, including plural or possessive forms, though grammatical and tense inflections are not required. Resolution will be determined primarily using video of the earnings call; if Kalshi employees cannot reach consensus from video, transcripts from news publications listed in the contract will be consulted. The tracked terms are: Home/MyHome, 5G, Starry, C-Band, Tariff, Spectrum, Synergy, Satellite, Rural, Outage, Headwind, Tailwind, Starlink, and Loyalty.
Prediction market odds often diverge from traditional analyst forecasts because they reflect real-money commitments from traders rather than consensus estimates. While analysts may publish earnings guidance or topic expectations through reports, this market aggregates the distributed knowledge of active traders who profit or lose based on accuracy. Prediction markets typically incorporate breaking news and market developments faster than formal analyst updates, making them a complementary signal. Comparing the two reveals where the crowd's confidence differs from expert consensus, highlighting potential surprises or overlooked risks in Verizon's upcoming earnings narrative.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares tied to specific outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each outcome's price reflects the collective probability assigned by the market; a price of 70 cents means traders estimate roughly a 70 percent chance of that outcome occurring. Prices adjust in real time as new trades execute, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at any moment. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and conviction, with tighter spreads suggesting strong agreement and wider spreads reflecting uncertainty or disagreement among traders.
This market resolves around Dec 31, 2026, once Verizon's earnings call concludes and statements are verifiable through credible public reporting. The outcome is determined by comparing actual remarks made during the call against the specific claims or topics embedded in each market outcome. Resolution hinges on factual confirmation from official transcripts, press releases, or widely reported news coverage rather than interpretation or speculation. Traders should monitor Verizon's investor relations announcements and earnings calendar to stay informed of any scheduling changes or delays that might affect the resolution timeline.
Quarterly earnings reports from competitors, regulatory announcements affecting the telecom sector, and macroeconomic data on consumer spending could all shift trader expectations before the call. Verizon's own press releases, guidance updates, or management commentary in other forums may signal what leadership plans to emphasize. Market-wide events such as interest rate changes or technology sector rallies can influence sentiment around telecom earnings broadly. Insider trading activity, activist investor moves, or analyst downgrades published in the days leading up to the call often trigger sharp repricing as new information becomes available to the trading community.