TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$133,388,117

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,436,095,462

405,232

Markets across

30,526

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,693

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?
⌛Ending Soon
kalshi

What will Ulta say during their next earnings call?

Volume:
$52,427

Google / Gemini

 - Kalshi

Google / Gemini - Kalshi

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 3, 2026

Closed: Jun 2, 8:27 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

Google / Gemini

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$5,680
N/A
N/A
$3,780
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Reward

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,902
N/A
N/A
$3,068
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

AI / Artificial Intelligence

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$4,664
N/A
N/A
$4,442
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Middle East

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,808
N/A
N/A
$3,153
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Luxury

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,540
N/A
N/A
$1,941
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Space NK

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,167
N/A
N/A
$2,988
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Rare Beauty

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$3,094
N/A
N/A
$2,853
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Traffic

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,952
N/A
N/A
$1,349
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Uncertainty

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,926
N/A
N/A
$1,861
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Target

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$1,528
N/A
N/A
$1,212
18h 21m
Yes
kalshi

Diamond

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$5,005
N/A
N/A
$4,499
18h 21m
No
kalshi

Tariff

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,666
N/A
N/A
$2,373
18h 21m
No
kalshi

Store Opening

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3,511
N/A
N/A
$2,606
18h 21m
No
kalshi

Holiday

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$2,217
N/A
N/A
$1,841
18h 21m
No
kalshi

Tailwind

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,929
N/A
N/A
$1,527
18h 21m
No
kalshi

Headwind

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1,837
N/A
N/A
$1,393
18h 21m
No
Total markets: 16

Intro

This market on Kalshi tracks whether Ulta Beauty representatives will mention Rare Beauty during the company's next earnings call and Q&A session. The leading outcome currently stands at 88.0% probability. Resolution is determined by Ulta Beauty's official earnings call transcript, with any mention of Rare Beauty by company representatives or the call operator triggering a Yes resolution. Watch for Ulta's next scheduled earnings call by September 30, 2026, when this market will settle based on the official call transcript.

Frequently asked questions

This dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the What will Ulta say during their next earnings call? event on Kalshi. It displays the current probability of the top outcome, historical price movements, and 24-hour trading volume of $45,260. The dashboard aggregates total group volume of $52,427 to show market depth and trader interest. You can monitor how odds shift as new information emerges about Ulta Beauty's upcoming earnings announcement, helping you gauge market sentiment on what the company will emphasize during their call.

Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect real-money trader expectations about Ulta Beauty's earnings call messaging. Unlike traditional analyst forecasts, which rely on equity research reports and consensus estimates, prediction markets aggregate dispersed information from many participants with direct financial incentives. Analyst forecasts typically focus on financial metrics and guidance, whereas prediction markets here capture what traders believe Ulta will actually communicate. The market odds serve as a crowdsourced alternative to poll-based or survey-driven predictions, offering a dynamic, continuously updated view of expected earnings call topics.

The What will Ulta say during their next earnings call? market resolves on Sep 30, 2026. Resolution is determined by whether Ulta Beauty's actual earnings call statement or communication matches the specified outcome criteria. Traders should monitor Ulta's official earnings announcement date, call transcript, and any pre-call guidance to assess how the market outcome will be settled. The exact resolution depends on the precise wording and scope of the outcome being tracked, so review the market details carefully before trading.

Several catalysts could shift odds on this market. Ulta Beauty's quarterly financial performance, same-store sales trends, and inventory levels will influence what management emphasizes on the call. Competitive dynamics in beauty retail, consumer spending patterns, and macroeconomic conditions may prompt Ulta to adjust messaging. Pre-earnings guidance, analyst upgrades or downgrades, and industry news about cosmetics demand could also move trader expectations. Additionally, any interim company announcements, executive commentary, or strategic initiatives announced before the earnings call will signal what topics Ulta is likely to prioritize, directly affecting market pricing.