TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
What will Trump say this week? (September 7 - September 13)
polymarket

What will Trump say this week? (September 7 - September 13)

Volume:
$19,249

Smoke

 - Polymarket

Smoke - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Sep 14, 2026

Closed: Sep 8, 1:13 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Smoke

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,746
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

King

100%
29%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$2,294
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Constitution

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$878
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Six Seven

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$818
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Wall

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$707
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ballroom

100%
40%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$705
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Golf / Golfing / Golfer

100%
14%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$505
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

11,888

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$454
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Maduro

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
4¢
N/A
$360
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Space Force

100%
11%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$326
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Secret Service

100%
21%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
10¢
N/A
$306
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Migrant Criminal

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,266
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Elon / Musk

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,680
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Monopoly

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,554
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Milk

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,406
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Cook / Cooked

0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,188
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Scottish Blood

0%
2%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,055
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls attempt to gauge stated preferences, this market represents what people are willing to *bet* will happen. This difference can be significant, especially when considering the potential for strategic misreporting in polls or the influence of unforeseen events. It’s common to see discrepancies between the two, as prediction markets incorporate a wider range of information and incentives, and can adjust more quickly to new developments than polls. This market provides a unique signal that isn't captured by conventional surveys.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the pricing in this market is determined by supply and demand. Traders actively buy and sell shares representing different potential statements, and the price fluctuates based on the collective assessment of market participants. A higher price for a given statement suggests a greater perceived probability of it being uttered. This creates a real-time forecast of what the former President might say, driven by the wisdom of the crowd. The market's efficiency is reflected in the volume of $19,249 traded so far.

This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of publicly available transcripts, video recordings, and official statements made by Donald Trump between September 7th and September 13th. The focus will be on identifying any statements fitting the defined criteria within the market’s parameters. The outcome will be determined by a consensus view based on these sources, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.

The direction of this market will likely be influenced by the news cycle and the former President’s public engagements between now and Sep 13, 2026. A major political development, a significant legal ruling, or a particularly controversial statement from a rival could all prompt shifts in the odds. Unexpected endorsements or criticisms could also play a role. Traders will be closely monitoring his social media activity for hints about his upcoming remarks. Any indication of a change in his messaging strategy will be quickly reflected in the prices within this market.