TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 8, 1:13 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between September 7, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 13, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the pricing in this market is determined by supply and demand. Traders actively buy and sell shares representing different potential statements, and the price fluctuates based on the collective assessment of market participants. A higher price for a given statement suggests a greater perceived probability of it being uttered. This creates a real-time forecast of what the former President might say, driven by the wisdom of the crowd. The market's efficiency is reflected in the volume of $19,249 traded so far.
This market resolves around Sep 13, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of publicly available transcripts, video recordings, and official statements made by Donald Trump between September 7th and September 13th. The focus will be on identifying any statements fitting the defined criteria within the market’s parameters. The outcome will be determined by a consensus view based on these sources, ensuring a fair and transparent resolution process.
The direction of this market will likely be influenced by the news cycle and the former President’s public engagements between now and Sep 13, 2026. A major political development, a significant legal ruling, or a particularly controversial statement from a rival could all prompt shifts in the odds. Unexpected endorsements or criticisms could also play a role. Traders will be closely monitoring his social media activity for hints about his upcoming remarks. Any indication of a change in his messaging strategy will be quickly reflected in the prices within this market.