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$142.3b

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2,643,541,936

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$1,594,026,835

471,138

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35,775

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,926

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What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)
polymarket

What will Trump say this week? (October 5 - October 11)

Oct 2, 2026, 6:27 PM EST - Oct 11, 2026, 7:59 PM EST
Total volume:
$485,875
Volume 24h:
$478,018
8,231%
Liquidity:
$1,027,909
22,035%
Open interest:
$200,954N/A

Ammunition

 - Polymarket

Ammunition - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolves Oct 11, 2026

Will Trump say "Ammunition" this week?

0%chance
Amount

$

Trade on
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Trade on Polymarket

At 0.1¢ buys you 100,000 shares | Odds: 0% Total Payout: $100,000 | Net Profit: $99,900 Multiplier: 1000.00x | ROI: 99,900% | APY: N/A
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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Ammunition

Trade
0%
Yes 0.1¢No 100¢
—
$1,027,909
$441,531
2,229%
4,714%
N/A
0d 0h 0m
disputed
polymarket

Dictionary

View
100%
6%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2.1¢
N/A
$28,366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Blowing it away

View
100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,325
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Complex

View
100%
50%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$427
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Eight Wars

View
100%
51%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$197
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Secret Service

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$156
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Witch

View
0%
4%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Kim Jong Un

View
0%
46%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,570
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Plumber

View
0%
5%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,399
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gay

View
0%
94%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,344
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Too Late

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Pig / Piggy

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
76.5¢
N/A
$1,376
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

NFL

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$619
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Psychological / Psychologically

View
0%
23%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$472
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 14

Description

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between October 5, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

Currently, prediction market odds often reflect a different perspective than traditional polling averages. While polls attempt to gauge stated preferences, this market represents what people are willing to *bet* will happen. This difference can be significant, especially when dealing with potentially controversial or unpredictable figures like Donald Trump. Polling data may show general sentiment, but this market focuses on the probability of specific statements being made, offering a more granular and potentially more accurate forecast of his public communications. The gap between polls and this market can vary depending on the specific statement being considered.

This market resolves around Oct 11, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The resolution will be based on a review of publicly available transcripts, video recordings, and official statements made by Donald Trump between October 5th and October 11th. The market will determine whether any of the listed statements were demonstrably uttered during that period. The focus is on direct quotes and publicly documented communications, ensuring a transparent and objective assessment of the week's events.

Several signals or events could significantly move this market before Oct 11, 2026. Unexpected political developments, breaking news stories, or controversial statements made by Donald Trump outside of scheduled events could all shift trader sentiment. A major policy announcement, a significant legal development, or even a viral social media post could influence the perceived likelihood of specific statements. Increased media coverage of potential topics, or a shift in public discourse, could also drive changes in the odds. Monitoring these factors will be key to understanding the dynamics of this market.