TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Politics
What will Trump say this week? (July 27 - August 2)
polymarket

What will Trump say this week? (July 27 - August 2)

Volume:
$43,312

Sleepy Joe

 - Polymarket

Sleepy Joe - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 3, 2026

Closed: Jul 27, 5:21 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Sleepy Joe

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,380
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Six Seven

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Bibi / Netanyahu

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.5¢
N/A
$2,462
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Trump Account

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$2,071
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ballroom

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$1,923
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Transgender

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.4¢
N/A
$1,892
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Through The Roof

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,678
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Champion

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$1,476
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Landslide

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,184
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barack Hussein Obama

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$1,165
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Stupid Question

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$1,135
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Egg

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$481
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

President Xi

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$4,620
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Moon

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,557
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Karoline / Leavitt

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,941
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No No No

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,901
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Epstein

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,814
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Golden Dome

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,764
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Uranium

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,442
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Crypto / Bitcoin

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,426
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Gianni / Infantino

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,248
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

First Lady

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$1,117
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Melania

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$822
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Marijuana / Weed / Cannabis

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$331
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 24

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between July 27, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 2, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks the latest odds and price history for the Trump statement market, along with real-time 24-hour volume of $4,615. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of specific phrases from Donald Trump during the specified period. The interface updates continuously to reflect market sentiment and trading activity as the week progresses.

Unlike traditional polling averages that measure public opinion, this market reflects trader expectations about Trump's statements based on current events, news cycles, and perceived political strategy. While polls capture voter preferences, this market zeroes in on the probability of Trump using particular words or phrases. The two can diverge significantly because market participants may have different information or incentives compared to polled voters.

This market resolves around Aug 2, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once Trump’s public statements from the specified period are verifiable from credible public reporting. Analysts will review transcripts and media coverage to determine whether the exact phrase was used, ensuring an objective resolution based on publicly available evidence rather than interpretation.

Key signals include Trump’s announced speaking engagements, real-time news coverage of his events, and any breaking political developments that might influence his rhetoric. Social media hints, press interviews, and speech drafts that leak can also shift trader expectations. Any indication that Trump plans to address specific topics or use certain language may cause rapid price adjustments on this market as participants react to new information.