TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 2, 7:59 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 31, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and September 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market resolves around Sep 6, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Specifically, traders will look for an explicit statement from Donald Trump that matches the market’s conditions during the week of August 31 to September 6. Once confirmed, the market settles based on whether the statement was made or not.
Several signals could shift this market before it settles. Major news events, Trump’s scheduled appearances, social media posts, and any public remarks that hint at the statement in question will all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, unexpected developments — such as political scandals or policy announcements — might increase the likelihood of Trump making the statement, causing rapid price changes on Polymarket.