TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
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All
Politics
What will Trump say this week? (August 17 - August 23)
polymarket

What will Trump say this week? (August 17 - August 23)

Volume:
$14,874

Transgender

 - Polymarket

Transgender - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Aug 24, 2026

Closed: Aug 21, 9:23 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Transgender

View
100%
20%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$4,228
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Prediction Market

100%
4%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.7¢
N/A
$2,094
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Pearl Harbor

100%
8%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$1,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

America First

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$802
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Who Are You

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
11¢
N/A
$611
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Mental Institution / Mental Institute

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$479
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Six Seven

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.9¢
N/A
$414
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Through The Roof

100%
1%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$366
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Ballroom

100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$322
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

God

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$263
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Alaska

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$253
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Weather / Rain

100%
3%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$217
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Japan

100%
2%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$34
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
polymarket

Barack Hussein Obama

0%
12%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$2,595
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

No No No

0%
90%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$397
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Assassin / Assassination

0%
58%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$303
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
polymarket

Uber

0%
88%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$169
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 17

Description

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Polymarket

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, this dashboard tracks real-time odds and price movements for the Trump statement market, alongside 24-hour volume of $1,523. It shows how traders on Polymarket are pricing the likelihood of specific phrases from Donald Trump appearing in public statements during the defined period. The interface updates continuously, reflecting shifts in market sentiment and trading activity as the week progresses toward Aug 23, 2026.

While public polls measure voter sentiment or expectations through direct surveys, this market reflects the real-time betting sentiment of traders who react instantly to news, speeches, and media coverage. The gap between polling averages and market odds can highlight where public perception diverges from trader expectations about Trump's likely wording.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set prices through buying and selling shares tied to possible outcomes. The current implied chance reflects aggregated bets and positions, updated instantly with each trade. Market depth and liquidity influence price stability, while public sentiment and news flow can cause rapid shifts. Volume of $14,874 provides insight into trader interest and market activity levels.

This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closely for any statements made by Trump during the specified dates to see which phrase or word matches the market’s conditions.

Several signals could shift this market before Aug 23, 2026. High-impact public appearances, press conferences, or scheduled speeches by Donald Trump are key catalysts, especially if he addresses themes likely to include tracked phrases. Media coverage and social media trends may also sway trader expectations. Any surprise announcements or controversies during the week could cause rapid re-pricing as participants reassess probabilities.