TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 21, 9:23 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Period+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
While public polls measure voter sentiment or expectations through direct surveys, this market reflects the real-time betting sentiment of traders who react instantly to news, speeches, and media coverage. The gap between polling averages and market odds can highlight where public perception diverges from trader expectations about Trump's likely wording.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, traders actively set prices through buying and selling shares tied to possible outcomes. The current implied chance reflects aggregated bets and positions, updated instantly with each trade. Market depth and liquidity influence price stability, while public sentiment and news flow can cause rapid shifts. Volume of $14,874 provides insight into trader interest and market activity levels.
This market resolves around Aug 23, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders will watch closely for any statements made by Trump during the specified dates to see which phrase or word matches the market’s conditions.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 23, 2026. High-impact public appearances, press conferences, or scheduled speeches by Donald Trump are key catalysts, especially if he addresses themes likely to include tracked phrases. Media coverage and social media trends may also sway trader expectations. Any surprise announcements or controversies during the week could cause rapid re-pricing as participants reassess probabilities.